Hard Rock Stadium features Week 6 action as the Miami Dolphins and Tua Tagovailoa take on the Los Angeles Chargers at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. Below we break down Tagovailoa’s stats and trends in relation to prop bets, helping you come up with good predictions for this contest.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Tua Tagovailoa to go over 223.5 yards
Tua Tagovailoa Prop Lines
- Matchup: Miami Dolphins vs. Los Angeles Chargers
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: October 12, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 223.5 (-111)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 3.5 (-113)
Tua Tagovailoa Stats and Trends
- Tagovailoa has thrown for 1,008 yards (201.6 per game) for Miami, completing 70.7% and collecting 10 TD passes and four interceptions on the season.
- Sunday’s prop bet for Tagovailoa is 223.5 passing yards, which is 21.9 more yards than his average of 201.6 on the year.
- In five games this year, Tagovailoa has exceeded 223.5 passing yards two times.
- His 201.6 passing yards per game are 34.7 below his average prop bet total of 236.3 yards.
- This season, Tagovailoa has gone over his passing yards prop total twice.
- He has thrown a touchdown pass in all five games this season, with more than one TD pass four times.
- Tagovailoa also has chipped in via the run, with 28 yards on seven attempts.
Recent Performances vs. the Chargers
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Chiefs | 249 | 1 |
| 2 | Raiders | 150 | 0 |
| 3 | Broncos | 147 | 1 |
| 4 | Giants | 89 | 1 |
| 5 | Commanders | 226 | 1 |
Dolphins Home Splits
- At home, the Dolphins score 27 points per game and concede 27. That’s more than they score overall (21.4), but less than they give up (29).
- The Dolphins’ average yards gained at home (329) is higher than their overall average (278.6). But their average yards conceded at home (368.5) is lower than overall (386.6).
- In home games, the Dolphins rack up 237 passing yards per game and give up 209. That’s more than they gain overall (196.4), and less than they allow (212.4).
- The Dolphins accumulate 92 rushing yards per game at home (9.8 more than their overall average), and concede 159.5 at home (14.7 less than overall).
- The Dolphins convert 36.4% of third downs at home (10.3% lower than their overall average), and give up 52.4% at home (2.4% higher than overall).
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