The Los Angeles Chargers, led by Justin Herbert, will take on the Miami Dolphins at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday for a Week 6 NFL contest. Let’s examine Herbert’s prop bets available for this contest, and break down his stats and trends to figure out the top value picks.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Justin Herbert to go over 250.5 yards
Justin Herbert Prop Lines
- Matchup: Los Angeles Chargers at Miami Dolphins
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: October 12, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 250.5 (-113)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 22.5 (-116)
Justin Herbert Stats and Trends
- Herbert has thrown for 1,229 yards (245.8 per game), completing 65.7% of his passes, with eight TDs and four INTs.
- Herbert’s passing yardage average this season — 245.8 yards per game — is 4.7 lower than Sunday’s over/under.
- In five games this season, Herbert has topped 250.5 passing yards two times.
- His average passing yards prop this season is 251.7 passing yards, while his actual passing average is under that by 5.9 yards.
- This season, Herbert has topped his passing yards prop total twice in five chances.
- He has thrown for a touchdown in all five games this season, with more than one TD pass on two occasions.
- Herbert has also run 23 times for 153 yards.
Recent Performances vs. the Dolphins
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colts | 262 | 1 |
| 2 | Patriots | 211 | 2 |
| 3 | Bills | 203 | 3 |
| 4 | Jets | 207 | 1 |
| 5 | Panthers | 179 | 2 |
Chargers Away Splits
- The Chargers score 19 points per game away from home (0.6 fewer than overall) and allow 15 on the road (4.6 fewer than overall).
- On the road, the Chargers pick up fewer yards (327.5 per game) than they do overall (352.2). But they also allow fewer on the road (234) than overall (293.8).
- On the road, the Chargers pick up fewer passing yards (211 per game) than they do overall (235.4). But they also concede fewer passing yards in away games (119.5) than overall (172.2).
- On the road, the Chargers accumulate fewer rushing yards (116.5 per game) than they do overall (116.8). But they also give up fewer rushing yards on the road (114.5) than overall (121.6).
- The Chargers convert 34.8% of third downs away from home (11.6% less than overall), and allow opponents to convert on 48.5% of third downs in away games (11.2% more than overall).
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