The No. 12 Wisconsin Badgers (23-7, 13-6 Big Ten) are at home in Big Ten action against the Penn State Nittany Lions (15-15, 5-14 Big Ten) on Saturday, March 8, 2025 at 1 p.m. ET. The Badgers are double-digit favorites by 11.5 points in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 153.5 points.
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Wisconsin Cover -11.5 vs Penn State -112
Wisconsin vs. Penn State betting lines
- Wisconsin moneyline odds to win: -781
- Penn State moneyline odds to win: +538
- Spread: Wisconsin (-11.5)
- Total: 153.5
Wisconsin statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Wisconsin has done a better job covering the spread in road games (8-3-0) than it has at home (8-8-0).
- When playing at home, the Badgers eclipse the over/under 50% of the time (eight of 16 games). They hit the over more consistently in road games, going over the total in 54.5% of games (six of 11).
- Wisconsin has played worse as a moneyline favorite in home games, sporting a home record of 13-2, compared to going 4-0 away from home.
Recent trends
- The Badgers’ offense has been worse over their last 10 games, scoring 77.9 points a contest compared to the 81 they’ve averaged this year.
- Wisconsin’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (70.7) is 0.3 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (70.4).
- Over their past 10 outings, the Badgers are making 0.3 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (9.5 compared to 9.8 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (32.9% compared to 35.1% season-long).
Wisconsin betting records this season
- ATS Record: 19-11-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 8-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 3-5-0 (As Favorite: 13-8-0; As Underdog: 6-3-0)
- O-U-P: 17-13-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 6-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-2 (Home: 13-2; Away: 4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-5 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.4 (96th in nation) | 41.8 (69th) | 32.9 (124th) | 30.7 (159th) | 14.8 (99th) | 9.5 (33rd) |
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Penn State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Penn State has had better results on the road (5-4-0) than at home (8-9-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Nittany Lions games have finished over more frequently at home (eight of 17, 47.1%) than away (three of nine, 33.3%).
- The Nittany Lions’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .333 (1-2), and on the road it is .111 (1-8).
Recent trends
- The Nittany Lions are scoring 69.1 points per game in their previous 10 games, which is 9.8 fewer points than their average for the season (78.9).
- Penn State is ceding 75.6 points per contest over its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 73.2 points allowed.
- The Nittany Lions are making 0.3 fewer threes per game in their last 10 games (6.7) compared to their season average (7), and they are posting a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (32.4%) compared to their season mark (33.5%).
Penn State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-15-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 1-0-0 (As Favorite: 7-11-0; As Underdog: 8-4-0)
- O-U-P: 11-19-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 3-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-5 (Home: 9-4; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-10 (Home: 1-2; Away: 1-8)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.6 (43rd in nation) | 45.5 (271st) | 30.7 (259th) | 30.4 (132nd) | 15.8 (52nd) | 12 (262nd) |

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