The No. 16 Virginia Cavaliers (6-1) meet a fellow ACC foe when they visit the North Carolina Tar Heels (2-4) on Saturday, October 25, 2025 at Kenan Stadium.

The Cavaliers are expected to win by at least two scores (currently -10.5) versus the Tar Heels. The over/under for this game is 51.5 points.

Below you can find our betting preview for this this matchup between the Cavaliers and the Tar Heels, and uncover all of our betting picks here, too!

Virginia vs. North Carolina betting lines

• Spread favorite: Cavaliers (-10.5)
• Moneyline: Cavaliers (-392), Tar Heels (+308)
• Total: 51.5 points
• TV Channel: ACC Network
• Live Stream: Fubo

Virginia vs. North Carolina betting info and stats

Virginia is 5-2-0 against the spread this season. Virginia has covered the spread three times when listed as a favorite by 10.5 or more points this season (3-1 ATS). Virginia is 4-0 in the four games this season it has been favored on the moneyline. North Carolina has a 3-3-0 record against the spread this season. North Carolina has not covered the spread in games it was the underdog by at least 10.5 points (0-1). This will be the fifth game this year North Carolina is the moneyline underdog, and have lost every such contest.

Virginia vs. North Carolina recent stats and trends

Virginia Cavaliers

• Virginia is 2-1 against the spread in its last three games, and has a 3-0 straight-up record in those contests.
• One time in those three games, the final combined score went over the set total.
• Virginia’s past three outings have ended with an average of 59.0 points scored. That’s 7.5 more points than this contest’s over/under.

North Carolina Tar Heels

• North Carolina is 1-2 against the spread in its past three games, and has a 3-0 straight-up record in those matchups.
• The final combined score of the last three North Carolina games surpassed the set total once.
• The past three North Carolina games averaged 4.7 fewer points (46.8) than this matchup’s point total.

Virginia vs. North Carolina key players

Virginia Cavaliers

• Chandler Morris has recorded 1,607 yards (229.6 ypg) on 145-of-211 passing with 11 touchdowns compared to four interceptions this season. In addition, he’s added 191 rushing yards (27.3 ypg) on 33 carries while scoring four touchdowns on the ground.
• J’mari Taylor has 512 rushing yards on 108 carries with eight touchdowns.
• Harrison Waylee has carried the ball 36 times for 253 yards (42.2 per game) and five touchdowns.
• Trell Harris’ 405 yards as a receiver pace the team. He’s been targeted 37 times and has totaled 28 receptions and three touchdowns.
• Jahmal Edrine has caught 26 passes for 335 yards (47.9 yards per game) and one touchdown this year.
• Cameron Ross has racked up 28 grabs for 329 yards, an average of 47.0 yards per game. He’s scored two times as a receiver this season.
• Daniel Rickert has 4.5 sacks to pace the team, and also has 4.0 TFL and 16 tackles.
• Virginia’s tackle leader, Devin Neal, has 34 tackles, 1.0 TFL, and 0.5 sacks this year.
• Ja’Son Prevard leads the team with three interceptions, while also collecting 10 tackles and three passes defended.

North Carolina Tar Heels

• Gio Lopez has thrown for 597 yards on 59.8% passing while tossing three touchdown passes with three interceptions this season. He’s also run for 80 yards with one score.
• Demon June has run for 276 yards on 42 carries so far this year while scoring one time on the ground.
• Benjamin Hall has racked up 34 carries and totaled 136 yards with two touchdowns.
• Jordan Shipp paces his team with 253 receiving yards on 22 receptions with two touchdowns.
• Kobe Paysour has racked up 119 receiving yards (23.8 yards per game) and one touchdown on eight receptions.
• Javarius Green’s 13 targets have resulted in eight grabs for 110 yards.
• Tyler Thompson has 2.0 sacks to lead the team, and also has 1.0 TFL and seven tackles.
• Khmori House is the team’s top-tackler this year. He’s amassed 32 tackles and 1.0 TFL.
• Malcolm Ziglar has a team-leading one interception to go along with one pass defended.