UMBC vs. Morgan State betting: College basketball preview for Nov. 11

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The UMBC Retrievers (1-1) hit the court against the Morgan State Bears (1-1) as 3.5-point favorites on Tuesday, November 11, 2025 at 6 p.m. ET. The over/under for the matchup is set at 164.5.

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UMBC Cover -3.5 vs Morgan State -108

Bet $20, Payout $38.52

UMBC vs. Morgan State betting lines

  • UMBC moneyline odds to win: -161
  • Morgan State moneyline odds to win: +135
  • Spread: UMBC (-3.5)
  • Total: 164.5

UMBC statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • UMBC did a better job covering the spread in road games (9-6-0) than it did in home games (4-11-0) last year.
  • The Retrievers eclipsed the total in 10 of 15 home games (66.7%) last year. They did the same in away games, topping the total in 10 of 15 matchups (66.7%).
  • In home games last season, UMBC won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, put up a record of 4-4 (.500). In road games, it was 1-2 (.333) as a moneyline favorite.

Last season stats

  • Last year, the Retrievers were 38th in college basketball offensively (80.0 points scored per game) and 22nd-worst defensively (78.8 points conceded).
  • UMBC was 294th in college basketball in rebounds per game (30.0) and sixth-worst in rebounds conceded (35.7) last year.
  • At 14.6 assists per game last season, the Retrievers were 99th in college basketball.

UMBC betting records last season

  • ATS Record: 13-17-0 (Home: 4-11-0; Away: 9-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 4-5-0 (As Favorite: 4-8-0; As Underdog: 9-9-0)
  • O-U-P: 20-9-1 (Home: 10-4-1; Away: 10-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-6 (Home: 4-4; Away: 1-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-13 (Home: 1-5; Away: 4-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.6 (17th in nation) 46.4 (317th) 30.0 (294th) 35.7 (353rd) 14.6 (99th) 11.0 (164th)

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Morgan State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Morgan State’s winning percentage against the spread at home last season was .667 (8-4-0). On the road, it was .467 (7-8-0).
  • In terms of the over/under, Bears games finished over 66.7% of the time last season, both at home (eight of 12) and away (10 of 15).
  • When moneyline underdogs last year, the Bears won a higher percentage of games at home (4-2) than away (1-12).

Last season stats

  • The Bears’ defensive performance was sixth-worst in college basketball last year with 80.8 points allowed per contest, but offensively they were more effective, putting up 80.0 points per game (38th-ranked in college basketball).
  • Morgan State pulled down 33.1 rebounds per game (111th-ranked in college basketball) last year, while allowing 33.5 rebounds per contest (310th-ranked).
  • The Bears averaged 12.9 assists per game, which ranked them 227th in the nation.

Morgan State betting records last season

  • ATS Record: 17-12-0 (Home: 8-4-0; Away: 7-8-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 13-7-0 (As Favorite: 3-4-0; As Underdog: 14-8-0)
  • O-U-P: 19-10-0 (Home: 8-4-0; Away: 10-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-2 (Home: 3-1; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-15 (Home: 4-2; Away: 1-12)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.8 (33rd in nation) 45.0 (253rd) 33.1 (111th) 33.5 (310th) 12.9 (227th) 13.3 (337th)
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