The UCSD Tritons (22-4, 12-2 Big West) are heavy favorites (-12.5) as they try to build on a three-game road winning streak when they square off against the Cal Poly Mustangs (10-16, 4-10 Big West) on Thursday, February 20, 2025 at Robert A. Mott Athletics Center. The game airs at 10:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s over/under is 161.
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UCSD Cover -12.5 vs Cal Poly -107
UCSD vs. Cal Poly betting lines
- UCSD moneyline odds to win: -885
- Cal Poly moneyline odds to win: +593
- Spread: UCSD (-12.5)
- Total: 161
UCSD statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- When playing at home, UCSD owns a worse record against the spread (7-3-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (9-2-0).
- The Tritons have eclipsed the total more consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in seven of 10 home matchups (70%). In away games, they have hit the over in five of 11 games (45.5%).
- As a moneyline favorite, UCSD has won a lower percentage of its games at home (.800) compared to road games (.857).
Recent trends
- The Tritons have been scoring 77.7 points per contest in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 80.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 campaign.
- UCSD’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (63.1) is 0.6 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (62.5).
- The Tritons’ 10.5 made three-pointers per-game average during their last 10 games are less than the 10.7 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 38.0% compared to their season-long percentage of 36.6% from deep.
UCSD betting records this season
- ATS Record: 19-5-0 (Home: 7-3-0; Away: 9-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 12.5+: 5-2-0 (As Favorite: 12-5-0; As Underdog: 7-0-0)
- O-U-P: 12-11-1 (Home: 7-3-0; Away: 5-5-1)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-3 (Home: 8-2; Away: 6-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.8 (79th in nation) | 41.0 (43rd) | 30.0 (298th) | 29.9 (108th) | 15.4 (70th) | 8.6 (fifth) |
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Cal Poly statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, Cal Poly has had better results on the road (7-8-0) than at home (4-5-0).
- Mustangs games have finished above the over/under 44.4% of the time at home (four of nine), and 73.3% of the time on the road (11 of 15).
- In 2024-25 when moneyline underdogs, the Mustangs have a better winning percentage at home (.400, 2-3 record) than away (.231, 3-10).
Recent trends
- The Mustangs have performed worse offensively in their previous 10 games, putting up 75.7 points per contest, 4.1 fewer points their than season average of 79.8.
- Over its previous 10 games, Cal Poly is ceding 80.1 points per game, 3.2 fewer points than its season average (83.3).
- The Mustangs are making 10.8 treys per game with a 35.1% three-point percentage over their past 10 games, compared to their season averages of 10.7 and 34.3%.
Cal Poly betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-13-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 7-8-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 12.5+: 3-3-0 (As Favorite: 2-4-0; As Underdog: 9-9-0)
- O-U-P: 15-9-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 11-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-2 (Home: 3-1; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-13 (Home: 2-3; Away: 3-10)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.4 (147th in nation) | 45.9 (300th) | 31.2 (240th) | 35.0 (347th) | 15.2 (81st) | 16.0 (363rd) |
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