UC Davis vs. Sacramento State betting: College basketball preview for Nov. 14

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The UC Davis Aggies (2-1) are favored by 4.5 points against the Sacramento State Hornets (2-1) on Friday, November 14, 2025 at 9 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on ESPN+. The matchup’s over/under is set at 151.5.

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UC Davis Cover -4.5 vs Sacramento State -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

UC Davis vs. Sacramento State betting lines

  • UC Davis moneyline odds to win: -215
  • Sacramento State moneyline odds to win: +176
  • Spread: UC Davis (-4.5)
  • Total: 151.5

UC Davis statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • UC Davis covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games last year. UC Davis covered six times in 12 games when playing at home, and it covered nine times in 16 games when playing on the road.
  • At home last season, the Aggies went over the total 41.7% of the time (five of 12 games). They hit the over more consistently in road games, exceeding the total in 43.8% of games (seven of 16).
  • UC Davis won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite when playing at home last year, going 5-3 (.625). In away games as a moneyline favorite, it sported a record of 4-0 (1.000).

Last season stats

  • With 68.0 points scored per game and 70.3 points allowed last year, the Aggies were 318th in the country offensively and 122nd defensively.
  • UC Davis grabbed 29.8 rebounds per game and conceded 32.7 boards last season, ranking 307th and 277th, respectively, in the nation.
  • The Aggies were 16th-worst in the country in assists (11.1 per game) last season.

UC Davis betting records last season

  • ATS Record: 15-14-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 9-7-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 7-5-0; As Underdog: 8-9-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-16-0 (Home: 5-7-0; Away: 7-9-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-3 (Home: 5-3; Away: 4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-13 (Home: 1-3; Away: 3-9)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
41.3 (336th in nation) 42.9 (118th) 29.8 (307th) 32.7 (277th) 11.1 (343rd) 12.7 (317th)

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Sacramento State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Sacramento State was better against the spread on the road (8-6-1) than at home (4-10-0) last year.
  • Looking at the over/under, Hornets games went over six of 14 times at home (42.9%) last year, and six of 15 away (40%).
  • As moneyline underdogs last season, the Hornets won a higher percentage of games at home (2-9) than away (2-13).

Last season stats

  • The Hornets scored just 66.2 points per game (15th-worst in college basketball) last year, but they played more consistently at the other end of the court, where they allowed 70.5 points per game (131st-ranked).
  • With 31.2 rebounds per game, Sacramento State was 221st in the nation. It gave up 29.3 rebounds per contest, which ranked 60th in college basketball.
  • Last season the Hornets ranked 214th in college basketball in assists, delivering 13.1 per game.

Sacramento State betting records last season

  • ATS Record: 12-17-1 (Home: 4-10-0; Away: 8-6-1)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 11-8-1 (As Favorite: 1-2-0; As Underdog: 11-15-1)
  • O-U-P: 13-17-0 (Home: 6-8-0; Away: 6-9-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-2 (Home: 1-2; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-23 (Home: 2-9; Away: 2-13)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.8 (282nd in nation) 44.7 (230th) 31.2 (221st) 29.3 (60th) 13.1 (214th) 12.8 (320th)
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