Highmark Stadium features Week 9 action as the Kansas City Chiefs and Travis Kelce hit the field against the Buffalo Bills at 4:25 p.m. ET on Sunday. Below we take a look at Kelce’s stats and trends in relation to prop bets, helping you come up with good predictions for this matchup.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Travis Kelce to go over 45.5 yards
Travis Kelce Prop Lines
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs at Buffalo Bills
- Time: 4:25 p.m. ET
- Date: November 2, 2025
- Receiving yards prop: Over 45.5 (-113)
Travis Kelce Stats and Trends
- So far this campaign, Kelce has reeled in 37 passes on 48 targets for a team-leading 474 yards and three TDs, averaging 59.3 yards per game.
- Kelce’s 59.3 receiving yards per game are 13.8 more than his over/under for Sunday’s contest.
- In 87.5% of his games this year (seven of eight), Kelce has put up over 45.5 receiving yards.
- His season average of 59.3 receiving yards is 16 more than his average prop total (43.3).
- Kelce has gone over on his receiving yards prop bet in 75.0% of his games (six of eight).
- He has had a touchdown catch in three of eight games this year, but had only one TD in each of those games.
Recent Performances vs. the Bills
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravens | 194 | 2 |
| 2 | Jets | 54 | 1 |
| 3 | Dolphins | 146 | 2 |
| 4 | Saints | 109 | 1 |
| 5 | Patriots | 267 | 0 |
| 6 | Falcons | 233 | 1 |
| 8 | Panthers | 130 | 0 |
Chiefs Away Splits
- The Chiefs score 23.7 points per game away from home (3.1 fewer than overall), and concede 22.3 in road games (5.9 more than overall).
- The Chiefs pick up fewer yards on the road (376.3 per game) than they do overall (378.3), and allow more (331.3 per game) than overall (277.8).
- The Chiefs accumulate more passing yards in road games (256 per game) than they do overall (251.8), but they also allow more (221.7 per game) than overall (177.8).
- The Chiefs accumulate 120.3 rushing yards per game in road games (6.2 fewer than overall), and allow 109.7 away from home (9.7 more than overall).
- On the road the Chiefs convert more third downs (47.4%) than overall (44%). But they also allow opponents to convert on more third downs (40.6%) than overall (38.4%).
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