Toledo vs. Ball State betting: College basketball preview for February 18

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Toledo Rockets (15-10, 8-4 MAC) are 7.5-point favorites as they look to build on a three-game home winning streak when they take on the Ball State Cardinals (13-12, 6-6 MAC) on Tuesday, February 18, 2025 at Savage Arena. The contest airs at 7:00 PM ET on ESPN+. The point total for the matchup is set at 156.5.

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Toledo Cover -7.5 vs Ball State -109

Bet $20, Payout $38.35

Toledo vs. Ball State betting lines

  • Toledo moneyline odds to win: -341
  • Ball State moneyline odds to win: +271
  • Spread: Toledo (-7.5)
  • Total: 156.5

Toledo statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • In home games, Toledo sports a worse record against the spread (2-5-1) compared to its ATS record in road games (9-4-0).
  • The Rockets have hit the over on the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (37.5%) than road tilts (53.8%).
  • Toledo has won a lower percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 5-2 (.714). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, it owns a record of 4-1 (.800).

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Rockets have been racking up 80.6 points per game, an average that’s a little higher than the 78.6 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
  • Toledo has been less stingy on the defensive side of the ball as of late, giving up 79.7 points per game during its past 10 outings compared to the 78.2 points per game its opponents average in the 2024-25 season.
  • During their past 10 outings, the Rockets are making 0.3 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (6.5 compared to 6.2 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from deep in that span (38.5% compared to 35.0% season-long).

Toledo betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-11-1 (Home: 2-5-1; Away: 9-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 7.5+: 2-3-1 (As Favorite: 6-8-1; As Underdog: 6-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-12-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 7-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-4 (Home: 5-2; Away: 4-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-6 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.1 (106th in nation) 47.3 (337th) 32.0 (183rd) 32.2 (249th) 13.3 (210th) 9.1 (14th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Toledo vs. Ball State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Ball State statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Ball State has performed better against the spread on the road (6-4-0) than at home (2-9-0) this season.
  • In 2024-25 a lower percentage of the Cardinals’ games have finished above the over/under at home (63.6%, seven of 11) than away (70%, seven of 10).
  • The Cardinals, when moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-1) than away (2-5) this season.

Recent trends

  • The Cardinals are putting up 77.9 points per contest in their past 10 games, compared to their season average of 76.9.
  • In its last 10 games, Ball State is giving up 80.9 points per game, 6.1 more points than its season average (74.8).
  • Over their past 10 games, the Cardinals are draining 7.3 three-pointers per contest, the same number as their season average. They sport a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 games (36.5%) compared to their season average (34.9%).

Ball State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-14-0 (Home: 2-9-0; Away: 6-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 7.5+: 3-1-0 (As Favorite: 4-9-0; As Underdog: 5-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-9-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 7-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 7-5 (Home: 5-4; Away: 2-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.3 (100th in nation) 44.3 (213th) 31.9 (189th) 31.1 (180th) 13.4 (200th) 11.4 (192nd)
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