The No. 6 Tennessee Volunteers (16-2, 3-2 SEC) are favored (by 8.5 points) to continue a 12-game home win streak when they host the No. 14 Mississippi State Bulldogs (15-3, 3-2 SEC) on Tuesday, January 21, 2025 at 7:00 PM ET. The matchup’s over/under is 142.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Tennessee Cover -8.5 vs Mississippi State -111
Tennessee vs. Mississippi State betting lines
- Tennessee moneyline odds to win: -385
- Mississippi State moneyline odds to win: +301
- Spread: Tennessee (-8.5)
- Total: 142.5
Tennessee statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Tennessee has covered the spread in a higher percentage of its home games than away games. It has covered seven times in 10 opportunities when playing at home, and it has covered two times in five opportunities in road games.
- When it comes to over/unders, the Volunteers hit the over more consistently at home, as they’ve gone over the total five times in 10 opportunities this season (50%). In road games, they have hit the over two times in five opportunities (40%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Tennessee has won a higher percentage of its games when playing at home (1.000) compared to away games (.667).
Recent trends
- The Volunteers’ offense has been less effective over their last 10 games, putting up 71.6 points a contest compared to the 76.8 they’ve averaged this year.
- Tennessee’s points-allowed average over its past 10 games (60.5) is 1.7 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (58.8).
- Over their past 10 contests, the Volunteers are making 0.3 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.4 compared to 8.7 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from beyond the arc in that span (32.9% compared to 34.9% season-long).
Tennessee betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-7-0 (Home: 7-3-0; Away: 2-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 8.5+: 8-4-0 (As Favorite: 10-6-0; As Underdog: 1-1-0)
- O-U-P: 7-11-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 2-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-1 (Home: 9-0; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.1 (118th in nation) | 36.4 (second) | 35.5 (51st) | 26.2 (eighth) | 16.1 (58th) | 10.2 (59th) |
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Mississippi State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This season, Mississippi State is 4-5-0 at home against the spread (.444 winning percentage). Away, it is 3-1-0 ATS (.750).
- Bulldogs games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (six times out of nine) than away (two of four) this season.
Recent trends
- The Bulldogs have performed worse offensively over their previous 10 games, compiling 80.7 points per contest, 2.2 fewer points their than season average of 82.9.
- Mississippi State has performed worse defensively over its past 10 games, allowing 72.3 points per contest, 2.2 more points than its season average of 70.1.
- The Bulldogs are sinking 0.3 fewer threes per contest over their last 10 games (8.3) compared to their season average (8.6), and they are posting a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (32.3%) compared to their season mark (32.7%).
Mississippi State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-9-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 3-1-0)
- O-U-P: 10-8-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-2 (Home: 8-1; Away: 3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.6 (100th in nation) | 42.7 (140th) | 37.4 (12th) | 31.3 (189th) | 16.2 (49th) | 9.6 (26th) |
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