The TCU Horned Frogs (4-2) meet a fellow Big 12 opponent when they host the Baylor Bears (4-2) on Saturday, October 18, 2025 at Amon G. Carter Stadium.

The Bears are underdogs, but by less than a touchdown (+3), against the Horned Frogs (with an over/under of 65.5 points).

Below you can find our betting primer for this this matchup between the Horned Frogs and the Bears, and discover all of our betting picks here, too!

TCU vs. Baylor betting lines

• Spread favorite: Horned Frogs (-3)
• Moneyline: Horned Frogs (-150), Bears (+126)
• Total: 65.5 points
• TV Channel: ESPN2
• Live Stream: Fubo

TCU vs. Baylor betting info and stats

TCU is 3-2-1 against the spread this season. TCU is 3-1 ATS when the favorite by at least 3 points. TCU has recorded a 3-1 record in the four games this season it has been favored on the moneyline. Baylor, in six games with a set spread this season, has gone 1-5-0 against the spread. When Baylor is an underdog of 3 points or more, it has always covered the spread (1-0 ATS). Baylor has been the underdog on the moneyline twice so far this season, and it split the two games.

TCU vs. Baylor recent stats and trends

TCU Horned Frogs

• TCU is 1-1-1 against the spread over its last three games, and has a 1-2 straight-up record in those contests.
• TCU and its opponents have combined to hit the over in one of those games.
• The last three TCU games averaged 55.5 total points, 10.0 fewer points than this matchup’s point total.

Baylor Bears

• Baylor is winless against the spread (0-3) and 1-2 overall during its last three matchups.
• In two of those three games, the final combined score has exceeded the set total.
• Baylor’s past three games have ended with an average of 59.8 points scored. That’s 5.7 fewer points than this contest’s over/under.

TCU vs. Baylor key players

TCU Horned Frogs

• Josh Hoover has thrown for 1,893 yards (315.5 ypg) to lead TCU, completing 64.7% of his passes and recording 18 touchdown passes compared to six interceptions this season.
• The team’s top rusher, Kevorian Barnes, has carried the ball 49 times for 285 yards (71.3 per game), scoring one time.
• Trent Battle has carried the ball 29 times for 159 yards (26.5 per game) and three touchdowns.
• Eric McAlister’s team-leading 541 yards as a receiver have come on 21 receptions (out of 38 targets) with seven touchdowns.
• Jordan Dwyer has put together a 357-yard season so far with two touchdowns, hauling in 25 passes on 39 targets.
• Joseph Manjack IV has hauled in 21 catches for 309 yards, an average of 51.5 yards per game. He’s scored two times as a receiver this season.
• Kaleb Elarms-Orr, the team’s tackle and sacks leader, has recorded 3.0 sacks, 5.0 TFL and 41 tackles.
• Jamel Johnson leads the team with three interceptions, while also putting up 41 tackles and three passes defended.

Baylor Bears

• Sawyer Robertson has thrown for 2,058 yards (343.0 per game) while completing 63.7% of his passes and collecting 19 touchdown passes with four interceptions this season.
• Bryson Washington is his team’s leading rusher with 102 carries for 557 yards, or 92.8 per game. He’s found the end zone five times on the ground, as well.
• Caden Knighten has rushed for 169 yards on 37 carries with one touchdown, while also catching nine passes for 107 yards and one score.
• Josh Cameron has hauled in 456 receiving yards on 32 receptions to pace his squad so far this season while scoring three touchdowns as a receiver.
• Michael Trigg has 29 receptions (on 50 targets) for a total of 439 yards (73.2 yards per game) and four touchdowns this year.
• Kole Wilson’s 37 targets have resulted in 24 receptions for 324 yards and two touchdowns.
• Emar’rion Winston has racked up 2.0 sacks to lead the team, while also recording 2.0 TFL and eight tackles.
• Keaton Thomas, Baylor’s tackle leader, has 40 tackles and 1.0 TFL this year.
• Jacob Redding leads the team with two interceptions, while also putting up 17 tackles and two passes defended.