The UCF Knights (15-13, 6-11 Big 12) are 3.5-point underdogs as they try to end a five-game road slide when they take on the TCU Horned Frogs (15-13, 8-9 Big 12) on Saturday, March 1, 2025 at Ed and Rae Schollmaier Arena. The matchup airs at 4 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s over/under is set at 150.5.
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TCU Cover -3.5 vs UCF -110
TCU vs. UCF betting lines
- TCU moneyline odds to win: -166
- UCF moneyline odds to win: +140
- Spread: TCU (-3.5)
- Total: 150.5
TCU statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, TCU has performed better when playing at home, covering seven times in 15 home games, and three times in 10 road games.
- In terms of point totals, the Horned Frogs hit the over less often at home, as they’ve exceeded the total four times in 15 opportunities this season (26.7%). In away games, they have hit the over four times in 10 opportunities (40%).
Recent trends
- The Horned Frogs have been scoring 63.4 points per contest in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s slightly lower than the 67.6 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 campaign.
- TCU’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (71.1) is 2.7 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (68.4).
- The Horned Frogs’ past 10 outings have seen them make 4.6 three-pointers per game while shooting 25.1% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are down from their 2024-25 averages of 6.1 makes and 30.3%.
TCU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-18-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 3-7-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 3-9-0 (As Favorite: 5-9-0; As Underdog: 5-9-0)
- O-U-P: 10-18-0 (Home: 4-11-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-3 (Home: 10-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-10 (Home: 2-1; Away: 2-8)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.1 (319th in nation) | 44.5 (223rd) | 30.5 (272nd) | 30.3 (128th) | 12.3 (274th) | 10.9 (146th) |
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UCF statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, UCF has had better results on the road (4-4-0) than at home (7-10-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Knights games have gone over less often at home (five of 17, 29.4%) than away (seven of eight, 87.5%).
- The Knights’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .250, both at home (1-3) and away (2-6).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Knights are scoring 78.5 points per game, compared to their season average of 78.9.
- UCF is giving up 81.9 points per contest in its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 80.1 points allowed.
- The Knights are sinking 8.1 treys per contest in their last 10 games, which is 0.3 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (8.4). In addition, they own a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (31%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (33.1%).
UCF betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-16-0 (Home: 7-10-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 6-5-0 (As Favorite: 6-8-0; As Underdog: 6-8-0)
- O-U-P: 15-12-1 (Home: 5-11-1; Away: 7-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-2 (Home: 11-2; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-11 (Home: 1-3; Away: 2-6)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.3 (311th in nation) | 45.6 (279th) | 32 (177th) | 34.1 (332nd) | 14 (148th) | 11.9 (250th) |
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