The Tarleton State Texans (1-2) are favored by 4.5 points against the Merrimack Warriors (0-2) on Tuesday, November 11, 2025 at 8 p.m. ET. The matchup airs on ESPN+. The over/under for the matchup is 142.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Tarleton State Cover -4.5 vs Merrimack -113
Tarleton State vs. Merrimack betting lines
- Tarleton State moneyline odds to win: -216
- Merrimack moneyline odds to win: +177
- Spread: Tarleton State (-4.5)
- Total: 142.5
Tarleton State statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread last season, Tarleton State fared better when playing at home, covering nine times in 11 home games, and five times in 15 road games.
- The Texans exceeded the total more often when playing at home last year, hitting the over in six of 11 home matchups (54.5%). On the road, they hit the over in six of 15 games (40%).
Last season stats
- Last year, the Texans were second-worst in the country offensively (63.3 points scored per game) and 91st on defense (69.6 points conceded).
- On the boards, Tarleton State was sixth-worst in the nation in rebounds (27.1 per game) last year. It was 38th in rebounds allowed (28.6 per game).
- With 10.5 assists per game, the Texans were eighth-worst in the country last year.
Tarleton State betting records last season
- ATS Record: 16-14-0 (Home: 9-2-0; Away: 5-10-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 3-1-0 (As Favorite: 4-1-0; As Underdog: 12-13-0)
- O-U-P: 13-17-0 (Home: 6-5-0; Away: 6-9-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-0 (Home: 4-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-20 (Home: 3-3; Away: 1-14)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.2 (268th in nation) | 44.4 (212th) | 27.1 (353rd) | 28.6 (38th) | 10.5 (351st) | 16.0 (364th) |
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Merrimack statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread last season, Merrimack had better results away (10-7-0) than at home (4-9-0).
- Warriors games went above the over/under less often at home (one time out of 13) than on the road (11 of 17) last year.
- The Warriors, when moneyline underdogs, won a higher percentage of games at home (2-1) than on the road (2-7) last year.
Last season stats
- Because of the Warriors’ offensive struggles last year, ranking ninth-worst in college basketball with 65.6 points per game, they were forced to lean on their defense, which ranked 15th-best in college basketball by giving up 64.2 points per game.
- When it came to rebounding, Merrimack was outplayed at both ends of the court last season, as it ranked -1-worst in college basketball in rebounds (25.8 per game) and -2-worst in rebounds allowed (37.4 per contest).
- Last season the Warriors ranked 300th in college basketball in assists, averaging 11.8 per game.
Merrimack betting records last season
- ATS Record: 15-18-0 (Home: 4-9-0; Away: 10-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 5-5-0 (As Favorite: 8-13-0; As Underdog: 7-5-0)
- O-U-P: 13-20-0 (Home: 1-12-0; Away: 11-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-6 (Home: 6-4; Away: 7-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-9 (Home: 2-1; Away: 2-7)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.3 (310th in nation) | 41.3 (45th) | 25.8 (360th) | 37.4 (361st) | 11.8 (300th) | 8.4 (third) |
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