Southern Illinois vs. Valparaiso betting: College basketball preview for January 28

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Valparaiso Beacons (10-11, 3-7 MVC) are underdogs (+1) as they try to stop a five-game losing streak when they host the Southern Illinois Salukis (9-12, 4-6 MVC) at 8:00 PM ET on Tuesday, January 28, 2025 at Athletics-Recreation Center. The matchup airs on ESPN+. The matchup has a point total of 150.

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Southern Illinois Cover -1 vs Valparaiso -111

Bet $20, Payout $38.02

Southern Illinois vs. Valparaiso betting lines

  • Southern Illinois moneyline odds to win: -117
  • Valparaiso moneyline odds to win: -103
  • Spread: Southern Illinois (-1)
  • Total: 150

Southern Illinois statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Southern Illinois owns a worse record against the spread in home games (3-5-0) than it does on the road (5-3-0).
  • When playing at home, the Salukis exceed the total 37.5% of the time (three of eight games). They hit the over more often on the road, exceeding the total in 50% of games (four of eight).
  • Southern Illinois has fared worse as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, putting up a home record of 3-1, compared to going 1-0 in away games.

Recent trends

  • The Salukis’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, racking up 72.8 points a contest compared to the 73.3 they’ve averaged this season.
  • The last 10 games have seen Southern Illinois allow 1.1 more points per game (75.2) than its season-long average (74.1).
  • The Salukis’ 6.9 made three-pointers per-game average in their last 10 games are more than the 6.4 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a lower percentage of made shots, 32.5% compared to their season-long percentage of 32.8% from beyond the arc.

Southern Illinois betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 9-11-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 5-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 1+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 4-3-0; As Underdog: 5-8-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-10-0 (Home: 3-5-0; Away: 4-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 5-2 (Home: 3-1; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-10 (Home: 1-3; Away: 2-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.5 (148th in nation) 44.9 (266th) 32.6 (166th) 29.9 (110th) 14.8 (114th) 12.3 (271st)

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Valparaiso statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • In 2024-25 against the spread, Valparaiso has a better winning percentage at home (.600, 6-4-0 record) than away (.500, 4-3-1).
  • Beacons games have gone above the over/under less frequently at home (six times out of 10) than away (five of eight) this season.
  • The Beacons, when moneyline underdogs, have won a higher percentage of games at home (2-2) than away (2-6) this year.

Recent trends

  • While the Beacons are averaging 76.9 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that over their past 10 games, tallying 75.7 points per contest.
  • Valparaiso is giving up 74.7 points per game in its last 10 games, compared to its season average of 73.8 points allowed.
  • The Beacons are sinking 8.0 treys per contest with a 34.6% three-point percentage over their previous 10 games, compared to their season averages of 7.6 and 33.1%.

Valparaiso betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 10-8-1 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 4-3-1)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 1+: 6-5-1 (As Favorite: 4-3-0; As Underdog: 6-5-1)
  • O-U-P: 12-7-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 5-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-2 (Home: 4-2; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-9 (Home: 2-2; Away: 2-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.2 (266th in nation) 45.6 (296th) 32.7 (161st) 31.4 (192nd) 11.7 (316th) 10.4 (83rd)
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