The Virginia Cavaliers (8-8, 1-4 ACC) are 5.5-point underdogs as they try to stop a three-game losing streak when they host the SMU Mustangs (12-4, 3-2 ACC) on Wednesday, January 15, 2025 at John Paul Jones Arena. The game airs at 9:00 PM ET on ACC Network. The matchup has an over/under of 135.5 points.
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Bet $20, Payout $37.54
SMU Cover -5.5 vs Virginia -114
SMU vs. Virginia betting lines
- SMU moneyline odds to win: -257
- Virginia moneyline odds to win: +207
- Spread: SMU (-5.5)
- Total: 135.5
SMU statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- SMU had a worse record against the spread at home (6-9-1) than it did in away games (6-5-1) last season.
- At home last season, the Mustangs went over the total 37.5% of the time (six of 16 games). They hit the over more often in away games, going over the total in 58.3% of games (seven of 12).
- As a moneyline favorite last year, SMU won 13 of 15 games when playing at home, good for a .867 winning percentage. SMU won four of seven games away from home (.571) as a moneyline favorite.
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Mustangs have been scoring 81.7 points per game, an average that’s slightly lower than the 84.7 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- SMU has been slightly better on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 72.5 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 72.6 it has surrendered per game this year.
- While the Mustangs are making fewer threes per game over their past 10 contests (7.9 per game) when compared to their season-long average (8.2), they are doing so while shooting the same percentage from beyond the arc (38.2%).
SMU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 8-8-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 1-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 5.5+: 7-4-0 (As Favorite: 8-5-0; As Underdog: 0-3-0)
- O-U-P: 11-5-0 (Home: 9-1-0; Away: 1-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-1 (Home: 8-0; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-3 (Home: 0-2; Away: 0-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.5 (65th in nation) | 41.3 (77th) | 36.4 (27th) | 28.8 (60th) | 16.3 (57th) | 11.2 (150th) |
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Virginia statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- In 2024-25 against the spread, Virginia has a better winning percentage at home (.444, 4-5-0 record) than away (.000, 0-4-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Cavaliers games have finished over less frequently at home (three of nine, 33.3%) than on the road (three of four, 75%).
- As moneyline underdogs, the Cavaliers have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-2) than away (0-4).
Recent trends
- Over their previous 10 games, the Cavaliers are putting up 61.7 points per contest, 0.1 more than their season average (61.6).
- Virginia is ceding 65.4 points per contest in its last 10 games, which is 1.4 more points than it is allowing for the season (64.0).
- The Cavaliers are making 0.2 fewer three-pointers per game over their previous 10 games (7.7) compared to their season average (7.9), and they are delivering a lower three-point percentage over their last 10 games (35.6%) compared to their season mark (37.0%).
Virginia betting records this season
- ATS Record: 5-11-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 0-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 5.5+: 0-6-0 (As Favorite: 2-4-0; As Underdog: 3-7-0)
- O-U-P: 8-8-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 3-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-0 (Home: 6-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-8 (Home: 1-2; Away: 0-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.2 (268th in nation) | 41.0 (66th) | 27.9 (347th) | 31.0 (178th) | 14.2 (158th) | 10.3 (65th) |
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