The SMU Mustangs (14-4, 5-2 ACC) take a three-game win streak into a home matchup with the No. 25 Louisville Cardinals (14-5, 7-1 ACC), who have won eight straight. The Cardinals are underdogs by just 1.5 points in the contest, which starts at 9:00 PM ET (on ACC Network) on Tuesday, January 21, 2025. The over/under for the matchup is set at 158.5.
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SMU Cover -1.5 vs Louisville -117
SMU vs. Louisville betting lines
- SMU moneyline odds to win: -130
- Louisville moneyline odds to win: +109
- Spread: SMU (-1.5)
- Total: 158.5
SMU statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- SMU has done a better job covering the spread in home games (5-5-0) than it has in road games (2-3-0).
- The Mustangs have exceeded the over/under more often at home, hitting the over in nine of 10 home matchups (90%). On the road, they have hit the over in two of five games (40%).
- SMU has performed better as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, putting up a home record of 8-0, compared to going 3-1 on the road.
Recent trends
- The Mustangs have been scoring 83.2 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s a little lower than the 84.8 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- SMU has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 71.4 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 71.6 it has conceded per game this year.
- Over their last 10 outings, the Mustangs are making 0.2 more three-pointers per game than their season long average (8.5 compared to 8.3 season-long), while also shooting a higher percentage from beyond the arc in that span (39.0% compared to 38.6% season-long).
SMU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-9-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 2-3-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 9-6-0 (As Favorite: 9-6-0; As Underdog: 0-3-0)
- O-U-P: 12-6-0 (Home: 9-1-0; Away: 2-3-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-1 (Home: 8-0; Away: 3-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-3 (Home: 0-2; Away: 0-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.6 (31st in nation) | 41.2 (65th) | 35.9 (39th) | 28.1 (36th) | 16.7 (39th) | 11.1 (140th) |
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Louisville statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Louisville has been better against the spread away (5-0-0) than at home (4-7-0) this year.
- Cardinals games have gone above the over/under less often at home (three times out of 11) than on the road (three of five) this season.
- As moneyline underdogs, the Cardinals have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-1) than away (2-1).
Recent trends
- The Cardinals have played better offensively over their last 10 games, compiling 80.5 points per contest, 2.1 more than their season average of 78.4.
- While Louisville is giving up 69.6 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse in its last 10 games, allowing 70.9 points per contest.
- The Cardinals are making 9.8 three-pointers per game with a 33.1% three-point percentage in their last 10 games, compared to their season averages of 9.4 and 30.7%.
Louisville betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-8-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 5-0-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 3-1-0 (As Favorite: 8-7-0; As Underdog: 3-1-0)
- O-U-P: 6-13-0 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 3-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-3 (Home: 8-2; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.7 (248th in nation) | 43.8 (207th) | 36.1 (32nd) | 29.8 (111th) | 13.5 (203rd) | 10.9 (123rd) |
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