The SMU Mustangs (20-7, 11-5 ACC) are 3.5-point favorites as they attempt to extend a five-game road winning streak when they take on the California Golden Bears (12-15, 5-11 ACC) on Wednesday, February 26, 2025 at Haas Pavilion. The game airs at 11:00 PM ET on ESPNU. The matchup has an over/under of 153.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.02
SMU Cover -3.5 vs Cal -111
SMU vs. Cal betting lines
- SMU moneyline odds to win: -173
- Cal moneyline odds to win: +144
- Spread: SMU (-3.5)
- Total: 153.5
SMU statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, SMU has fared worse at home, covering seven times in 16 home games, and four times in eight road games.
- The Mustangs have exceeded the total more often at home, hitting the over in 11 of 16 home matchups (68.8%). In away games, they have hit the over in four of eight games (50%).
- SMU has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 11-2 (.846). When playing on the road as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 6-1 (.857).
Recent trends
- The Mustangs have seen a downturn in scoring lately, racking up 81.0 points per game in their last 10 contests, 1.2 points fewer than the 82.2 they’ve scored this year.
- SMU’s points-allowed average over its last 10 games (72.2) is 0.5 more points per game than the team is allowing over the entire season (71.7).
- The Mustangs are trending up from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 8.8 threes per game and shooting 39.1% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 8.3 makes and 38.0% from distance in the 2024-25 season.
SMU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-14-0 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 11-8-0 (As Favorite: 13-10-0; As Underdog: 0-4-0)
- O-U-P: 16-11-0 (Home: 11-5-0; Away: 4-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 20-3 (Home: 11-2; Away: 6-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-4 (Home: 0-3; Away: 0-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.1 (33rd in nation) | 40.5 (30th) | 35.6 (28th) | 29.1 (64th) | 16.4 (33rd) | 11.4 (201st) |
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Cal statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Cal’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .467 (7-8-0). On the road, it is .818 (9-2-0).
- Looking at the over/under, Golden Bears games have gone over more frequently at home (nine of 15, 60%) than away (three of 11, 27.3%).
- As moneyline underdogs, the Golden Bears have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-1) than away (2-9).
Recent trends
- Over their past 10 games, the Golden Bears are putting up 71.7 points per contest, 2.4 fewer points than their season average (74.1).
- Cal has fared better defensively over its last 10 games, ceding 74.7 points per contest, 0.6 fewer points than its season average of 75.3 allowed.
- The Golden Bears are draining the same number of threes per game over their last 10 games as their season average (7.3), and they are posting a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (30.5%) compared to their season mark (32.3%).
Cal betting records this season
- ATS Record: 16-11-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 9-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 9-3-0 (As Favorite: 6-7-0; As Underdog: 10-4-0)
- O-U-P: 12-14-1 (Home: 9-5-1; Away: 3-8-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 9-4 (Home: 9-4; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-11 (Home: 1-1; Away: 2-9)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.0 (323rd in nation) | 46.6 (322nd) | 32.9 (131st) | 31.1 (184th) | 10.4 (356th) | 11.0 (156th) |
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