SMU vs. Cal betting: College basketball preview for January 29

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The California Golden Bears (11-9, 4-5 ACC) are heavy underdogs (+12.5) as they try to extend a three-game win streak when they visit the SMU Mustangs (15-5, 6-3 ACC) at 9:00 PM ET on Wednesday, January 29, 2025 at Moody Coliseum. The matchup airs on ACC Network. The point total for the matchup is set at 150.5.

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SMU Cover -12.5 vs Cal -116

Bet $20, Payout $37.24

SMU vs. Cal betting lines

  • SMU moneyline odds to win: -962
  • Cal moneyline odds to win: +622
  • Spread: SMU (-12.5)
  • Total: 150.5

SMU statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • SMU has done a better job covering the spread in away games (3-3-0) than it has in home games (5-6-0).
  • When it comes to over/unders, the Mustangs hit the over more often in home games, as they’ve eclipsed the total 10 times in 11 opportunities this season (90.9%). In road games, they have hit the over two times in six opportunities (33.3%).
  • When playing at home, SMU has won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, producing a record of 8-1 (.889). On the road, it is 4-1 (.800) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • The Mustangs’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, putting up 80.4 points a contest compared to the 83.1 they’ve averaged this year.
  • SMU has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 74.6 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 72.2 it has conceded this year.
  • While the Mustangs are knocking down the same number of threes per game over their past 10 outings compared to their season-long average (8.1), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (40.7% from beyond the arc over the last 10, 38.3% on the season).

SMU betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 10-10-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 3-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 12.5+: 3-3-0 (As Favorite: 10-7-0; As Underdog: 0-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 13-7-0 (Home: 10-1-0; Away: 2-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 15-2 (Home: 8-1; Away: 4-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-3 (Home: 0-2; Away: 0-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.0 (43rd in nation) 40.9 (55th) 35.7 (43rd) 28.5 (54th) 16.3 (43rd) 11.2 (161st)

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Cal statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Cal has performed better against the spread on the road (5-2-0) than at home (6-6-0) this season.
  • Golden Bears games have gone above the over/under 75% of the time at home (nine of 12), and 28.6% of the time away (two of seven).
  • As moneyline underdogs, the Golden Bears have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-0) than away (2-5).

Recent trends

  • In their past 10 games, the Golden Bears are posting 71.2 points per contest, compared to their season average of 76.3.
  • Cal is allowing 73.8 points per game in its previous 10 games, which is 1.8 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (75.6).
  • Over their past 10 games, the Golden Bears are draining 6.4 treys per contest, 0.9 fewer threes than their season average (7.3). They also own a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (29.2%) compared to their season average (33.1%).

Cal betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-9-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 5-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 12.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 5-6-0; As Underdog: 6-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-9-0 (Home: 9-3-0; Away: 2-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-3 (Home: 8-3; Away: 0-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-6 (Home: 1-0; Away: 2-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.6 (244th in nation) 46.5 (324th) 33.1 (144th) 30.3 (130th) 10.4 (354th) 11.3 (167th)
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