Sam Burns has +1600 odds to win the 2025 The American Express at PGA West (Palmer) as he looks to follow up his sixth-place performance here in 2024 with another high finish. Before Burns tees off in La Quinta, CA, let’s analyze his recent performances to help you place your best bets.
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Moneyline
Bet $20, Payout $340.00
Burns to win the 2025 The American Express +1600
Sam Burns’ recent tournaments
| Date | Tournament | Finish | Score | Shots Behind Leader | Earnings |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| January 2-5 | The Sentry | 8 | 72-66-66-65 (-23) | 12 | $550,000 |
| December 5-8 | Hero World Challenge | 14 | 68-72-74-70 (-4) | 21 | $177,500 |
| August 29 – September 1 | TOUR Championship | 12 | 67-68-68-70 (-15) | 11 | $0 |
| August 22-25 | BMW Championship | 2 | 73-68-71-65 (-11) | 1 | $1,503,333 |
| August 15-18 | FedEx St. Jude Championship | 5 | 67-63-70-67 (-13) | 4 | $760,000 |
Sam Burns’ recent performance
- Burns has finished in the top 20 in six straight events.
- Burns will look to make the cut for the 12th straight tournament by making the weekend in this event.
- Over his last five appearances, Burns has finished within three shots of the leader once and five or fewer strokes back of the winner twice. He’s carded a score that’s better than average four times.
- He has finished with an average score of -13 those five times he’s made the cut.
- Burns has finished in the top 10 three times over his last five appearances, finishing as high as the top five in two of those outings.
- Over his last 16 rounds, Burns has finished under par 13 times, while also posting 11 rounds with a better-than-average score.
- He has recorded the best score of the day in one of his last 16 rounds, while scoring among the top five in three rounds and the top 10 eight times.
Sam Burns’ last five outings
| Events | Within Three Shots | Within Five Shots | Below Average |
|---|---|---|---|
| 5 | 1 | 2 | 4 |
Sam Burns’ Last Time Out
- Burns fared worse on par 3s than the field his last time out, carding a birdie or better on one of the 12 par-3 holes at The Sentry (the tournament average was 2.2).
- On the 12 par-3 holes at The Sentry, Burns recorded one bogey or worse (the other golfers averaged 1.4).
- Burns’ 17 birdies or better on par-4 holes at The Sentry were more than the tournament average (11.3).
- In that most recent outing, Burns’ par-4 performance (on 44 par-4 holes) included a bogey or worse four times (better than the field’s average of 4.3).
- Burns ended The Sentry with a birdie or better on 10 of the 16 par-5 holes, underperforming the tournament average of 10.2.
- Even though the field at The Sentry averaged 0.8 bogeys or worse on the 16 par-5 holes, Burns finished without one.
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