Phillies vs. Reds Betting Lines, Odds, & Player Matchups July 4, 2025

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Data Skrive

The Philadelphia Phillies (51-36) and the Cincinnati Reds (45-42) square off in the first of a three-game series on Friday at Citizens Bank Park, beginning at 1:05 p.m. ET. The favored Phillies (-156) are coming off of a 2-1 series win over the Padres, and the underdog Reds (+130) enter the matchup after a 1-2 series loss to the Red Sox. Jesus Luzardo starts for Philadelphia while Cincinnati will counter with Andrew Abbott.

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Betting Odds

Phillies to win vs Reds -156

Bet $20, Payout $32.82

Phillies vs. Reds betting lines

  • Favorite: Phillies (-156)
  • Underdog: Reds (+130)
  • Over/under: 8.5

Phillies betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Phillies betting info

  • The Phillies have compiled a 44-23 record in games they were favored on the moneyline (winning 65.7% of those games).
  • In games it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -156 or shorter, Philadelphia has a 32-10 record (winning 76.2% of its games).
  • The Phillies have a 60.9% chance to win this matchup based on the moneyline’s implied probability.
  • In the 87 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for Philadelphia, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 36 times (36-47-4).
  • The Phillies have a 44-43-0 record against the spread this season (covering 50.6% of the time).

Phillies hitting info

  • Kyle Schwarber leads the Phillies with 26 home runs and 58 runs batted in.
  • Among all batters in MLB, Schwarber’s home run total ranks fourth and his RBI tally ranks 12th.
  • Trea Turner has a club-leading .297 batting average.
  • Turner ranks 77th in home runs and 80th in RBI among hitters in baseball.
  • Turner has hit safely in three straight games. In his last five games he is batting .211 with two walks and two RBIs.
  • Nick Castellanos is hitting .279 with 22 doubles, a triple, 10 home runs and 20 walks.
  • Alec Bohm has 12 doubles, two triples, seven home runs and 18 walks while batting .283.
  • Bohm enters this matchup on a five-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .333 with a double, a triple, two walks and two RBIs.

Phillies pitching rankings

  • The pitching staff for the Phillies has a collective 9.3 K/9, the second-best in the majors.
  • Philadelphia’s 3.71 team ERA ranks ninth among all MLB pitching staffs.
  • Pitchers for the Phillies combine for the 15th-ranked WHIP in MLB (1.263).
  • Phillies pitchers combine to allow 89 total home runs at a rate of 1.0 per game (11th-fewest in the majors).
  • Philadelphia took down the Padres 5-1 in its last game with nine strikeouts while allowing six hits.

Reds betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Reds betting info

  • The Reds have entered the game as underdogs 49 times this season and won 26, or 53.1%, of those games.
  • Cincinnati has a record of 8-8 in games where sportsbooks have it as underdogs of at least +130 on the moneyline.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Reds, based on the moneyline, is 43.5%.
  • So far this season, Cincinnati and its opponents have hit the over in 37 of its 85 games with a total.
  • The Reds are 45-40-0 ATS in their 85 games with a spread this season.

Reds hitting info

  • Elly De La Cruz leads Cincinnati in home runs with 18 and runs batted in with 58.
  • In all of MLB, De La Cruz is 16th in home runs and 12th in RBI.
  • TJ Friedl is batting .281 to lead Cincinnati, while adding eight homers and 31 runs batted in this season.
  • Among all major league hitters, Friedl ranks 137th in home runs and 134th in RBI.
  • Spencer Steer has 73 hits this season and a slash line of .252/.306/.407.
  • Gavin Lux has 67 hits and an OBP of .361 to go with a slugging percentage of .390 this season.

Reds pitching rankings

  • The Reds average the 18th-most strikeouts per nine innings (8.2) in the majors this season.
  • Cincinnati has pitched to a 3.93 ERA this season, which ranks 15th in baseball.
  • The Reds have a combined WHIP of just 1.236 as a pitching staff, which is the eighth-best in baseball this season.
  • The Reds have given up the 20th-fewest long balls so far this season with 105 home runs allowed.
  • Cincinnati earned an 8-4 win in its most recent game, striking out six Red Sox batters while allowing 11 hits.
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Betting Guide

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