Week 6 action in the NFL features Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs matching up against the Detroit Lions at 8:20 p.m. ET on Sunday. With prop bets available for Mahomes in this outing, let’s take a look at the stats and trends that will help determine the top bets for this game.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Patrick Mahomes to go over 268.5 yards
Patrick Mahomes Prop Lines
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs vs. Detroit Lions
- Time: 8:20 p.m. ET
- Date: October 12, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 268.5 (-111)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 25.5 (-116)
Patrick Mahomes Stats and Trends
- Mahomes has passed for 1,257 yards (251.4 per game), completing 63.4% of his throws, with eight TDs and two INTs.
- Sunday’s prop bet for Mahomes is 268.5 passing yards, which is 17.1 more yards than his average of 251.4 on the year.
- In five games this season, Mahomes has thrown for more than 268.5 yards twice.
- His average passing yards prop this year is 244.5, which he has surpassed by 6.9 yards per game.
- So far this year, Mahomes has exceeded his passing yards prop total in three of five opportunities.
- He has thrown for a touchdown in all five games this season, including more than one touchdown pass one time.
- Mahomes has also run 28 times for 190 yards and three TDs.
Recent Performances vs. the Lions
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Packers | 188 | 2 |
| 2 | Bears | 205 | 2 |
| 3 | Ravens | 233 | 3 |
| 4 | Browns | 170 | 0 |
| 5 | Bengals | 237 | 3 |
Chiefs Home Splits
- The Chiefs’ average points scored in home games (27) is higher than their overall average (25). But their average points conceded at home (20) is lower than overall (21.4).
- At home, the Chiefs rack up 338 yards per game and give up 288. That’s less than they gain (361) and allow (314) overall.
- The Chiefs’ average passing yards gained (218.5) and conceded (144) at home are both lower than their overall averages of 241 and 190.6, respectively.
- At home, the Chiefs accumulate 119.5 rushing yards per game and concede 144. That’s less than they gain overall (120), and more than they allow (123.4).
- At home, the Chiefs convert 33.3% of third downs and allow 33.3% to be converted by their opponent. That’s less than they convert (41.5%) and allow (37.5%) overall.
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