Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs hit the field against the NFC’s Dallas Cowboys in a Week 13 NFL matchup at 4:30 p.m. ET Thursday. Let’s examine Mahomes’ prop bets available for this matchup, and dig into his stats and trends to figure out the top value picks.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Patrick Mahomes to go over 267.5 yards
Patrick Mahomes Prop Lines
- Matchup: Kansas City Chiefs at Dallas Cowboys
- Time: 4:30 p.m. ET
- Date: November 27, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 267.5 (-112)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 20.5 (-114)
Patrick Mahomes Stats and Trends
- Mahomes has thrown for 2,977 yards (270.6 per game), completing 64.4% of his passes, with 18 TDs and seven INTs.
- Mahomes has thrown for 270.6 yards per game (3.1 above Thursday’s over/under).
- In six of 11 matchups this year, Mahomes has exceeded 267.5 passing yards.
- His average passing yards prop this year is 257.1, which he has surpassed by 13.5 yards per game.
- This year, Mahomes has bettered his passing yards prop total in seven games (63.6%).
- He has completed at least one touchdown pass in nine of 11 games (including multiple TDs four times).
- In addition Mahomes has 318 yards on the ground (28.9 per game), on 52 carries plus four touchdowns.
Recent Performances vs. the Cowboys
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Eagles | 144 | 0 |
| 2 | Giants | 422 | 3 |
| 3 | Bears | 298 | 4 |
| 4 | Packers | 325 | 3 |
| 5 | Jets | 234 | 2 |
| 6 | Panthers | 194 | 3 |
| 7 | Commanders | 205 | 1 |
| 8 | Broncos | 247 | 4 |
| 9 | Cardinals | 221 | 2 |
| 11 | Raiders | 209 | 1 |
| 12 | Eagles | 276 | 1 |
Chiefs Away Splits
- The Chiefs score fewer points away from home (22.2 per game) than they do overall (25.2), and allow more (23.4 per game) than overall (18.3).
- On the road, the Chiefs accumulate fewer yards (349.0 per game) than overall (376.0). They also allow more (348.0 per game) than overall (293.0).
- In road tilts, the Chiefs pick up fewer passing yards (248.6 per game) than overall (257.7). They also allow more passing yards (242.2 per game) than overall (195.4).
- The Chiefs pick up fewer rushing yards in road games (100.4 per game) than they do overall (118.3), and give up more (105.8 per game) than overall (97.6).
- The Chiefs successfully convert fewer third downs on the road (40.6%) than they do overall (41.5%) and allow opponents to convert on more third downs on the road (45.8%) than overall (41.3%).
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