The Oklahoma City Thunder are 5-point favorites heading into a decisive Game 6 of the second round of the NBA Playoffs against the Denver Nuggets at Ball Arena on Thursday, beginning at 8:30 p.m. ET on ESPN. The Thunder hold a 3-2 series lead. The over/under is 216.5 for the matchup.
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Thunder Cover -5 vs Nuggets -109
Thunder vs. Nuggets betting lines
- Thunder odds to win: -198
- Nuggets odds to win: +164
- Spread: Thunder (-5)
- Total: 216.5
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Thunder Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- Oklahoma City has a 25-14-1 record against the spread on the road and are 32-8 in road contests.
- This season, Oklahoma City is 17-10 ATS on the road as 5-point favorites or more.
- Thunder games have hit the over on the set point total 21 times on the road this year.
- Recent history gives an edge to Oklahoma City to beat the total. This year its road games averaged a total of 227.5 points per contest.
Thunder Recent Trends
- The Thunder are 8-2 overall and 4-6 against the spread over their last 10 contests.
- The final score of the past 10 Thunder games has exceeded the set total three times.
- The Thunder’s past 10 outings have ended with an average of 228.4 points scored. That’s 11.9 more points than this contest’s over/under.
- In their past 10 games, the Thunder have a points-per-game average 3.4 points below their season-long scoring average.
Thunder Betting Records
- The Thunder have gone 66-13 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 83.5% of those games).
- When playing as a moneyline favorite with odds of -198 or shorter, Oklahoma City has gone 53-11 (82.8% win percentage).
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Thunder’s implied win probability is 66.4%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.2 (sixth in NBA) | 43.6 (first) | 44.8 (11th) | 44.9 (20th) | 26.9 (12th) | 11.0 (first) |
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Nuggets Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- The Nuggets have hit the over on a set point total in a home game 26 times this season.
- The Nuggets have covered the spread 18 times at home and is 26-15 in home contests.
- This season, the Nuggets are 14-13 ATS in home games when playing as 5-point underdogs or more.
- The Nuggets and their opponents have averaged a total of 232.6 points per home contest this season, 16.1 points greater than this game’s projected total.
Nuggets Recent Trends
- The Nuggets are 5-5 overall and 7-2-1 against the spread over their last 10 games.
- The Nuggets and their opponents have combined to hit the over in five of the past 10 games.
- The last 10 Nuggets games averaged 219.5 total points, 3.0 more points than this matchup’s point total.
- During their past 10 games, the Nuggets have scored 13.6 fewer points per contest compared to their 120.8 PPG season-long scoring average.
Nuggets Betting Records
- This season, Denver has been the underdog 20 times and won 10, or 50%, of those games.
- The Nuggets are 5-4 this season when entering a game as the underdog by +164 or more on the moneyline.
- The implied probability of a win by the Nuggets based on the moneyline is 37.9%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 50.6 (first in NBA) | 46.6 (12th) | 45.7 (fourth) | 42.5 (sixth) | 31.0 (first) | 13.5 (17th) |
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