The Northern Kentucky Norse (15-15, 10-9 Horizon League) are 2.5-point favorites as they attempt to extend a three-game winning streak when they host the Youngstown State Penguins (19-11, 13-6 Horizon League) on Saturday, March 1, 2025 at Truist Arena. The contest airs at 1 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The over/under for the matchup is 145.
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Northern Kentucky Cover -2.5 vs Youngstown State -110
Northern Kentucky vs. Youngstown State betting lines
- Northern Kentucky moneyline odds to win: -143
- Youngstown State moneyline odds to win: +120
- Spread: Northern Kentucky (-2.5)
- Total: 145
Northern Kentucky statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, Northern Kentucky has fared better at home, covering five times in 15 home games, and four times in 14 road games.
- In terms of point totals, the Norse hit the over less consistently in home games, as they’ve eclipsed the total five times in 15 opportunities this season (33.3%). On the road, they have hit the over seven times in 14 opportunities (50%).
- In 12 home games as a moneyline favorite, Northern Kentucky has eight wins (.667). It sports the same winning percentage (2-1 record) as a moneyline favorite in away games.
Recent trends
- The Norse’s offense has been improved over their last 10 games, scoring 73.4 points per contest compared to the 70.7 they’ve averaged this season.
- Northern Kentucky has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 74.7 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 71.8 it has conceded this season.
- The Norse are trending down from deep over their last 10 outings, making 7.2 threes per game and shooting 31.7% from long range compared to their season-long averages of 7.5 makes and 32.4% from distance in the 2024-25 season.
Northern Kentucky betting records this season
- ATS Record: 9-20-0 (Home: 5-10-0; Away: 4-10-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 2.5+: 5-7-0 (As Favorite: 6-10-0; As Underdog: 3-10-0)
- O-U-P: 12-16-1 (Home: 5-10-0; Away: 7-6-1)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-5 (Home: 8-4; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-10 (Home: 0-2; Away: 3-8)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.6 (242nd in nation) | 44.7 (230th) | 30.6 (263rd) | 32.1 (239th) | 14 (148th) | 11.6 (225th) |
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Youngstown State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Youngstown State has been better against the spread away (9-5-0) than at home (4-8-0) this year.
- In terms of the over/under, Penguins games have finished over more frequently at home (seven of 12, 58.3%) than away (five of 14, 35.7%).
- The Penguins’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is 1.000 (1-0), and away it is .444 (4-5).
Recent trends
- While the Penguins are averaging 77.1 points per game in 2024-25, they have bettered that mark in their past 10 games, producing 83.6 a contest.
- Youngstown State has played worse defensively in its last 10 games, surrendering 74.4 points per contest, 2.8 more points than its season average of 71.6.
- The Penguins are sinking 9.6 three-pointers per contest with a 33.8% three-point percentage in their last 10 games, compared to their season averages of 8.7 and 31.7%.
Youngstown State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 14-14-0 (Home: 4-8-0; Away: 9-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 2.5+: 4-4-0 (As Favorite: 8-10-0; As Underdog: 6-4-0)
- O-U-P: 12-15-1 (Home: 7-4-1; Away: 5-9-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-6 (Home: 6-5; Away: 5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-5 (Home: 1-0; Away: 4-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44 (224th in nation) | 42.3 (100th) | 33.6 (83rd) | 32.1 (239th) | 13.8 (167th) | 11.6 (225th) |
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