Northern Iowa vs. Missouri State betting: College basketball preview for February 5

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Northern Iowa Panthers (14-9, 8-4 MVC) visit the Missouri State Bears (8-15, 1-11 MVC) in a matchup of MVC teams at Great Southern Bank Arena, beginning at 7:00 PM ET on Wednesday, February 5, 2025. The Panthers are 3.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup’s over/under is set at 132.5.

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Northern Iowa Cover -3.5 vs Missouri State -113

Bet $20, Payout $37.70

Northern Iowa vs. Missouri State betting lines

  • Northern Iowa moneyline odds to win: -182
  • Missouri State moneyline odds to win: +151
  • Spread: Northern Iowa (-3.5)
  • Total: 132.5

Northern Iowa statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Northern Iowa has a better record against the spread when playing at home (10-2-0) than it does in away games (4-3-0).
  • The Panthers have exceeded the total in six of 12 home games (50%), compared to three of seven road games (42.9%).
  • Northern Iowa has fared better as a moneyline favorite at home, putting up a home record of 10-2, compared to going 2-2 on the road.

Recent trends

  • The Panthers have seen a decrease in scoring recently, putting up 71.2 points per game in their last 10 outings, 3.8 points fewer than the 75.0 they’ve scored this year.
  • Northern Iowa has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 69.3 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 67.7 it has surrendered this season.
  • The Panthers’ last 10 contests have seen them make 6.8 three-pointers per game while shooting 34.7% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are below their 2024-25 averages of 7.3 makes and 37.5%.

Northern Iowa betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-8-0 (Home: 10-2-0; Away: 4-3-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 10-3-0 (As Favorite: 12-4-0; As Underdog: 2-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 9-13-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 3-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-4 (Home: 10-2; Away: 2-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-5 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-2)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
49.8 (sixth in nation) 44.2 (221st) 29.7 (308th) 28.7 (56th) 14.2 (143rd) 10.1 (70th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Northern Iowa vs. Missouri State? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Missouri State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Against the spread, Missouri State has had better results away (5-4-0) than at home (5-5-0).
  • In 2024-25, a higher percentage of the Bears’ games have finished above the over/under at home (60%, six of 10) compared to away (44.4%, four of nine).
  • The Bears’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .750 (3-1), and away it is .000 (0-7).

Recent trends

  • The Bears have played worse offensively in their past 10 games, averaging 66.6 points per contest, 3.2 fewer points their than season average of 69.8.
  • While Missouri State is surrendering 71.8 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse over its last 10 games, allowing 73.3 points per contest.
  • The Bears are sinking 8.3 threes per contest over their past 10 games, which is 0.7 more than their average for the season (7.6). Likewise, they sport a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (38.2%) compared to their season average from three-point land (37.0%).

Missouri State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 12-10-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 7-2-0 (As Favorite: 2-6-0; As Underdog: 10-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-11-0 (Home: 6-4-0; Away: 4-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 2-5 (Home: 1-4; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-10 (Home: 3-1; Away: 0-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.8 (183rd in nation) 46.8 (331st) 29.6 (312th) 28.2 (32nd) 12.2 (289th) 13.0 (315th)
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