The North Carolina Tar Heels (9-6, 2-1 ACC) are 6.5-point favorites as they look to build on a four-game home win streak when they square off against the SMU Mustangs (11-3, 2-1 ACC) on Tuesday, January 7, 2025 at Dean E. Smith Center. The game airs at 9:00 PM ET on ACC Network. The matchup’s point total is set at 166.5.
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North Carolina Cover -6.5 vs SMU -112
North Carolina vs. SMU betting lines
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: -293
- SMU moneyline odds to win: +234
- Spread: North Carolina (-6.5)
- Total: 166.5
North Carolina statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- North Carolina owns a worse record against the spread when playing at home (2-4-0) than it does on the road (2-2-0).
- The Tar Heels have hit the over on the total in three of six home games (50%). They’ve done the same in road games, topping the total in two of four matchups (50%).
- As a moneyline favorite, North Carolina has won a lower percentage of its games when playing at home (.833) compared to away games (1.000).
Recent trends
- The Tar Heels have been scoring 80.4 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s slightly lower than the 84.6 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- North Carolina has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, allowing 80.6 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 79.2 it has surrendered this season.
- Over their past 10 outings, the Tar Heels are making 0.4 fewer three-pointers per game than their season long average (7.0 compared to 7.4 season-long), while also shooting a lower percentage from deep in that span (29.4% compared to 31.4% season-long).
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 5-10-0 (Home: 2-4-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 3-4-0 (As Favorite: 3-7-0; As Underdog: 2-3-0)
- O-U-P: 9-6-0 (Home: 3-3-0; Away: 2-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-2 (Home: 5-1; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-4 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.4 (75th in nation) | 43.1 (181st) | 34.8 (81st) | 33.3 (290th) | 14.1 (175th) | 10.9 (122nd) |
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SMU statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2023-24 against the spread, SMU had a lower winning percentage at home (.375, 6-9-1 record) than on the road (.500, 6-5-1).
- In 2023-24, a lower percentage of the Mustangs’ games finished above the over/under at home (37.5%, six of 16) than on the road (58.3%, seven of 12).
- When moneyline underdogs last year, the Mustangs won a lower percentage of games at home (0-1) than on the road (1-4).
Last season stats
- With 76.8 points per game on offense, the Mustangs were 86th in college basketball last season. Defensively, they allowed 68.8 points per contest, which ranked 81st in college basketball.
- With 35.7 boards per game, SMU was 32nd in the nation. It ceded 30.8 rebounds per contest, which ranked 135th in college basketball.
- Last season the Mustangs ranked 37th in college basketball in assists, averaging 15.7 per game.
SMU betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-7-0 (Home: 4-5-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 7-5-0; As Underdog: 0-2-0)
- O-U-P: 10-4-0 (Home: 8-1-0; Away: 1-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-1 (Home: 7-0; Away: 1-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-2 (Home: 0-2; Away: 0-0)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.4 (50th in nation) | 40.6 (65th) | 36.5 (34th) | 28.6 (57th) | 16.3 (65th) | 11.4 (174th) |
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