ACC foes meet when the North Carolina Tar Heels (13-10, 6-5 ACC) host the Pittsburgh Panthers (14-8, 5-6 ACC) at Dean E. Smith Center, tipping off at 4:00 PM ET on Saturday, February 8, 2025. The Panthers are 4.5-point underdogs in the game. The matchup’s over/under is set at 151.5.
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North Carolina Cover -4.5 vs Pittsburgh -111
North Carolina vs. Pittsburgh betting lines
- North Carolina moneyline odds to win: -204
- Pittsburgh moneyline odds to win: +168
- Spread: North Carolina (-4.5)
- Total: 151.5
North Carolina statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- North Carolina has a better record against the spread in home games (4-6-0) than it does in road games (2-6-0).
- The Tar Heels have exceeded the total in a higher percentage of games at home (40%) than games on the road (37.5%).
- As a moneyline favorite, North Carolina has won a higher percentage of its games when playing at home (.800) compared to road games (.750).
Recent trends
- The Tar Heels have seen a downturn in scoring recently, racking up 74.2 points per game in their last 10 contests, seven points fewer than the 81.2 they’ve scored this year.
- The past 10 games have seen North Carolina give up 3.5 fewer points per game (73.2) than its season-long average (76.7).
- The Tar Heels’ 6.6 made three-pointers per-game average over their past 10 games are less than the 7.3 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a higher percentage of three-point shots made, 32.8% compared to their season-long percentage of 32.3% from deep.
North Carolina betting records this season
- ATS Record: 7-16-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 2-6-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 5-9-0 (As Favorite: 5-11-0; As Underdog: 2-5-0)
- O-U-P: 11-12-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 3-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-4 (Home: 8-2; Away: 3-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-6 (Home: 0-0; Away: 0-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.9 (69th in nation) | 42.7 (128th) | 34.2 (78th) | 32.6 (265th) | 14.3 (134th) | 10.9 (135th) |
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Pittsburgh statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Pittsburgh’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .615 (8-5-0). Away, it is .286 (2-5-0).
- In 2024-25, a higher percentage of the Panthers’ games have finished above the over/under at home (53.8%, seven of 13) compared to away (42.9%, three of seven).
Recent trends
- In their past 10 games, the Panthers are posting 72 points per game, 6.5 fewer points than their season average (78.5).
- In its past 10 games, Pittsburgh is ceding 74.7 points per game, 3.7 more points than its season average (71).
- In their previous 10 games, the Panthers are draining 7.7 treys per contest, 0.7 fewer threes than their season average (8.4). They sport a better three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (35.8%) compared to their season average (35.5%).
Pittsburgh betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-11-0 (Home: 8-5-0; Away: 2-5-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 0-2-0 (As Favorite: 9-9-0; As Underdog: 2-2-0)
- O-U-P: 11-10-1 (Home: 7-5-1; Away: 3-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 13-5 (Home: 10-3; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.7 (79th in nation) | 43.4 (167th) | 30.8 (269th) | 30.7 (152nd) | 13.6 (192nd) | 9.6 (27th) |

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