Week 12 of the NFL season features Nico Collins and the Houston Texans facing off against the Buffalo Bills at 8:15 p.m. ET on Thursday. In this article we break down all of Collins’ prop bets set for this matchup, and examine the stats to figure out the best predictions.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.86
Nico Collins to go over 72.5 yards
Nico Collins Prop Lines
- Matchup: Houston Texans vs. Buffalo Bills
- Time: 8:15 p.m. ET
- Date: November 20, 2025
- Receiving yards prop: Over 72.5 (-112)
Nico Collins Stats and Trends
- Collins has 49 receptions (while being targeted 82 times) for a team-leading 642 yards and four TDs, averaging 71.3 yards per game.
- Collins’ 71.3 receiving yards average is 1.2 fewer than his over/under on Thursday.
- In 55.6% of his games this season (five of nine), Collins has totaled over 72.5 receiving yards.
- He has totaled 0.9 fewer receiving yards per game (71.3) than his average over/under (72.2).
- Collins has gone over on his receiving yards prop bet in five of nine games.
- He has had a touchdown catch in four of nine games this year, but had only one TD in each of those games.
Recent Performances vs. the Bills
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ravens | 194 | 2 |
| 2 | Jets | 54 | 1 |
| 3 | Dolphins | 146 | 2 |
| 4 | Saints | 109 | 1 |
| 5 | Patriots | 267 | 0 |
| 6 | Falcons | 233 | 1 |
| 8 | Panthers | 130 | 0 |
| 9 | Chiefs | 226 | 0 |
| 10 | Dolphins | 173 | 2 |
| 11 | Buccaneers | 165 | 1 |
Texans Home Splits
- At home, the Texans put up 24.4 points per game and give up 16.4. That is more than they score (22) and give up (16.3) overall.
- At home, the Texans accumulate 354.8 yards per game and concede 248.4. That’s more than they gain overall (329.6), but less than they allow (258.1).
- The Texans’ average yards passing at home (239.4) is higher than their overall average (222). And their average yards allowed at home (149.8) is lower than overall (171).
- The Texans accumulate 115.4 rushing yards per game at home (7.8 more than their overall average), and give up 98.6 at home (11.5 more than overall).
- In home games, the Texans convert 41.7% of third downs and allow 35% to be converted. That’s more than they convert (36%) and allow (34.4%) overall.
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