Mets vs. Marlins Betting Lines, Odds, & Player Matchups August 28, 2025

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The New York Mets (72-61) will look to keep a three-game win streak going when they host the Miami Marlins (62-71) on Thursday at 7:10 p.m. ET. The Mets are favored (-261) over the Marlins (+211). Clay Holmes starts for New York, and Adam Mazur is Miami’s pick to start.

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Betting Odds

Mets to win vs Marlins -261

Bet $20, Payout $27.66

Mets vs. Marlins betting lines

  • Favorite: Mets (-261)
  • Underdog: Marlins (+211)
  • Over/under: 8.5

Mets betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Mets betting info

  • The Mets have gone 54-38 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 58.7% of those games).
  • When it has played as moneyline favorites with odds of -261 or shorter, New York has a record of 11-1 (91.7%).
  • Based on this contest’s moneyline, the Mets’ implied win probability is 72.3%.
  • In the 133 games in which bookmakers have set an over/under for New York, it has combined with opponents to go over the total 61 times (61-65-7).
  • The Mets are 63-70-0 against the spread this season.

Mets hitting info

  • Juan Soto has racked up a team-best 32 home runs.
  • Soto’s home runs rank seventh in MLB and he ranks 21st in RBI in MLB.
  • Soto has hit safely in four games in a row. During his last five outings he is batting .235 with seven walks and three RBIs.
  • Francisco Lindor is batting .265 to lead his team.
  • Lindor currently ranks 28th in homers and 37th in RBI in the majors.
  • Lindor brings a two-game hitting streak into this matchup. During his last five outings he is batting .273 with two walks and an RBI.
  • Pete Alonso paces the Mets in runs batted in (106) and has racked up a team-best batting average of .265.
  • Alonso has hit safely in three straight games. During his last five outings he is hitting .318 with a double, a home run, two walks and five RBIs.
  • Brandon Nimmo has 23 doubles, 20 home runs and 44 walks while hitting .258.
  • Nimmo brings a three-game hitting streak into this game. In his last five games he is hitting .357 with a walk and three RBIs.

Mets pitching rankings

  • The Mets pitching staff ranks eighth in the majors with a collective 8.7 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • New York has the seventh-ranked team ERA among all MLB pitching staffs (3.80).
  • Pitchers for the Mets combine for the 21st-ranked WHIP in the majors (1.309).
  • Mets pitchers combine to give up the second-fewest home runs in baseball (119 total, 0.9 per game).
  • New York struck out seven Phillies batters while giving up five hits in a 6-0 win in its last game.

Marlins betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Marlins betting info

  • This season, the Marlins have won 52 out of the 111 games, or 46.8%, in which they’ve been the underdog.
  • Miami has a record of 4-5, a 44.4% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of +211 or more by oddsmakers this season.
  • Oddsmakers have implied with the moneyline set for this matchup that the Marlins have a 32.2% chance to win.
  • So far this season, Miami and its opponents have hit the over in 63 of its 133 games with a total.
  • The Marlins are 78-55-0 against the spread in their 133 chances this season.

Marlins hitting info

  • Xavier Edwards leads Miami with a batting average of .288. He’s also hit two home runs with 34 RBI.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Edwards ranks 374th in home runs and 218th in RBI.
  • Otto Lopez has 102 hits and an OBP of .307 to go with a slugging percentage of .353 this season.
  • Lopez ranks 158th in home runs and 85th in RBI among all major league hitters this year.
  • Agustin Ramirez is slashing .228/.287/.424 this season for the Marlins.
  • Eric Wagaman is batting .232 with an OBP of .282 and a slugging percentage of .365 this season.

Marlins pitching rankings

  • The Marlins have an eight K/9 this season as a pitching staff, which ranks 22nd in the big leagues.
  • Miami has pitched to a 4.58 ERA this season, which ranks 25th in baseball.
  • The Marlins rank 18th in MLB with a combined 1.301 WHIP this season.
  • The Marlins have given up the 14th-fewest long balls so far this season with 149 home runs allowed.
  • Miami pitchers struck out eight Braves hitters while allowing 11 base hits in a 12-1 loss its last time out.
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