New Mexico State vs. Western Kentucky betting: College basketball preview for March 1

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The New Mexico State Aggies (15-13, 8-7 CUSA) host the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (16-12, 7-8 CUSA) in a matchup of CUSA teams at Pan American Center, tipping off at 6 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 1, 2025. The Aggies are 3.5-point favorites in the game. The matchup has an over/under set at 142.5 points.

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New Mexico State Cover -3.5 vs Western Kentucky -117

Bet $20, Payout $37.09

New Mexico State vs. Western Kentucky betting lines

  • New Mexico State moneyline odds to win: -174
  • Western Kentucky moneyline odds to win: +145
  • Spread: New Mexico State (-3.5)
  • Total: 142.5

New Mexico State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • New Mexico State owns a worse record against the spread in home games (3-8-0) than it does on the road (8-4-0).
  • Looking at over/unders, the Aggies hit the over less consistently in home games, as they’ve exceeded the total two times in 11 opportunities this season (18.2%). On the road, they have hit the over four times in 12 opportunities (33.3%).
  • New Mexico State has won a lower percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite at home, going 4-5 (.444). When playing away from home as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 2-0 (1.000).

Recent trends

  • On the offensive side of the ball, the Aggies have struggled over their last 10 games, scoring 62.5 points per contest over that span compared to the 69.7 they’ve put up over the course of this season.
  • New Mexico State’s defense has been more stingy lately, as the team has given up 64.2 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 66.1 points per game its opponents average on the season.
  • The Aggies’ past 10 contests have seen them make 6.1 three-pointers per game while shooting 27.9% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are down from their 2024-25 averages of 7.2 makes and 32.2%.

New Mexico State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 11-14-0 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 8-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 2-6-0 (As Favorite: 4-9-0; As Underdog: 7-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 7-18-0 (Home: 2-9-0; Away: 4-8-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-7 (Home: 4-5; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-6 (Home: 1-1; Away: 5-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
41.7 (329th in nation) 39.8 (17th) 34.9 (47th) 31.7 (220th) 11.8 (308th) 10.5 (106th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on New Mexico State vs. Western Kentucky? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Western Kentucky statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Western Kentucky has performed better against the spread on the road (7-5-0) than at home (7-8-0) this year.
  • Hilltoppers games have finished above the over/under more frequently at home (eight times out of 15) than on the road (three of 12) this year.

Recent trends

  • The Hilltoppers are posting 75.6 points per game in their past 10 games, which is 1.2 fewer points than their average for the season (76.8).
  • Western Kentucky is giving up 74.8 points per game in its last 10 games, which is 0.4 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (75.2).
  • In their previous 10 games, the Hilltoppers are sinking 8.4 treys per contest, 0.1 more than their season average (8.3). However, they sport a lower three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (33.7%) compared to their season average (33.9%).

Western Kentucky betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-13-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 7-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 6-3-0 (As Favorite: 8-9-0; As Underdog: 6-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-16-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 3-9-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 11-5 (Home: 10-4; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-7 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-7)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
43.2 (273rd in nation) 41 (41st) 33.6 (83rd) 36.9 (358th) 12.2 (284th) 10.9 (146th)
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