New Mexico vs. UNLV betting: College basketball preview for March 7

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The New Mexico Lobos (24-6, 16-3 MWC) are heavy favorites (-12.5) as they try to build on a 10-game home win streak when they square off against the UNLV Rebels (17-13, 11-8 MWC) on Friday, March 7, 2025 at The Pit. The matchup airs at 10 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The point total for the matchup is set at 148.5.

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New Mexico Cover -12.5 vs UNLV -106

Bet $20, Payout $38.87

New Mexico vs. UNLV betting lines

  • New Mexico moneyline odds to win: -862
  • UNLV moneyline odds to win: +574
  • Spread: New Mexico (-12.5)
  • Total: 148.5

New Mexico statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • In home games, New Mexico owns a better record against the spread (7-8-0) compared to its ATS record on the road (5-6-0).
  • When playing at home, the Lobos eclipse the over/under 66.7% of the time (10 of 15 games). They’ve hit the over in 18.2% of away games (two of 11 contests).
  • As a moneyline favorite, New Mexico has taken 14 of 15 games at home, good for a .933 winning percentage. It has won five of six games away from home (.833) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • On the offensive side of the ball, the Lobos have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 79.1 points per contest over that span compared to the 82.3 they’ve put up over the course of this year.
  • The last 10 games have seen New Mexico concede 1.8 fewer points per game (69.7) than its season-long average (71.5).
  • The Lobos are trending down from deep over their last 10 outings, making 7.0 threes per game and shooting 34.5% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 7.3 makes and 34.9% from distance in the 2024-25 season.

New Mexico betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-15-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 5-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 12.5+: 4-7-0 (As Favorite: 11-12-0; As Underdog: 3-3-0)
  • O-U-P: 14-15-0 (Home: 10-5-0; Away: 2-9-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 20-3 (Home: 14-1; Away: 5-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-3)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.1 (107th in nation) 43.0 (129th) 35.6 (27th) 31.3 (195th) 15.3 (74th) 11.3 (192nd)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on New Mexico vs. UNLV? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

UNLV statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • This season, UNLV is 7-8-0 at home against the spread (.467 winning percentage). Away, it is 6-5-0 ATS (.545).
  • In 2024-25 a lower percentage of the Rebels’ games have finished above the over/under at home (26.7%, four of 15) than on the road (72.7%, eight of 11).
  • The Rebels’ winning percentage at home when moneyline underdogs is .500 (3-3), and on the road it is .143 (1-6).

Recent trends

  • In their past 10 games, the Rebels are scoring 66.7 points per contest, 3.0 fewer points than their season average (69.7).
  • UNLV is allowing 63.2 points per game in its last 10 games, which is 4.7 fewer points than it is allowing for the season (67.9).
  • The Rebels are making 1.1 fewer threes per contest over their past 10 games (5.4) compared to their season average (6.5), and they are producing a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (29.8%) compared to their season mark (34.2%).

UNLV betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-16-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 6-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-17-0 (Home: 4-11-0; Away: 8-3-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-2 (Home: 7-2; Away: 4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-11 (Home: 3-3; Away: 1-6)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
44.6 (191st in nation) 42.2 (86th) 31.1 (233rd) 32.4 (266th) 12.1 (289th) 9.9 (55th)
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