The Air Force Falcons (4-24, 1-16 MWC) are heavy underdogs (+21.5) as they look to break a 12-game road losing streak when they square off against the New Mexico Lobos (22-6, 14-3 MWC) on Saturday, March 1, 2025 at The Pit. The contest airs at 2 p.m. ET on MW Network. The matchup has an over/under of 144.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.02
New Mexico Cover -21.5 vs Air Force -111
New Mexico vs. Air Force betting lines
- New Mexico moneyline odds to win: -7692
- Air Force moneyline odds to win: +1875
- Spread: New Mexico (-21.5)
- Total: 144.5
New Mexico statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, New Mexico has performed better when playing at home, covering seven times in 14 home games, and four times in 10 road games.
- When it comes to over/unders, the Lobos hit the over more consistently when playing at home, as they’ve exceeded the total nine times in 14 opportunities this season (64.3%). In away games, they have hit the over two times in 10 opportunities (20%).
- New Mexico has performed better as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, posting a home record of 13-1, compared to going 4-1 in away games.
Recent trends
- On the offensive side of the ball, the Lobos have had a hard time putting the ball in the basket over their last 10 games, scoring 80.7 points per contest over that stretch as opposed to the 82.3 they’ve racked up over the course of this season.
- New Mexico has been more stingy on defense lately, giving up 69.1 points per game over its last 10 contests compared to the 71.6 points per game its opponents are averaging in the 2024-25 season.
- The Lobos are trending up from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 7.7 threes per game and shooting 37.9% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 7.4 makes and 35.4% from distance in the 2024-25 season.
New Mexico betting records this season
- ATS Record: 13-14-0 (Home: 7-7-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 21.5+: 2-1-0 (As Favorite: 10-11-0; As Underdog: 3-3-0)
- O-U-P: 13-14-0 (Home: 9-5-0; Away: 2-8-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 18-3 (Home: 13-1; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-3 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46 (112th in nation) | 42.9 (126th) | 35.9 (24th) | 31.4 (204th) | 15.4 (68th) | 11.4 (199th) |
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Air Force statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This season, Air Force is 4-11-0 at home against the spread (.267 winning percentage). On the road, it is 5-7-0 ATS (.417).
- Falcons games have finished above the over/under less often at home (eight times out of 15) than on the road (eight of 12) this season.
- The Falcons’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is .000, both at home (0-9) and away (0-12).
Recent trends
- The Falcons are averaging 61 points per game over their previous 10 games, which is 1.4 fewer points than their average for the season (62.4).
- Air Force is allowing 77.2 points per contest in its previous 10 games, which is 4.7 more points than it is allowing for the season (72.5).
- Over their previous 10 games, the Falcons are draining 7.6 threes per game, 0.4 fewer threes than their season average (8). They also own a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (31.9%) compared to their season average (33.5%).
Air Force betting records this season
- ATS Record: 10-18-0 (Home: 4-11-0; Away: 5-7-0)
- O-U-P: 16-12-0 (Home: 8-7-0; Away: 8-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 4-3 (Home: 3-3; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 0-21 (Home: 0-9; Away: 0-12)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.4 (309th in nation) | 47.9 (350th) | 26.8 (357th) | 31.5 (210th) | 13.3 (211th) | 11.9 (250th) |
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