Twins vs. Rays Betting Lines, Odds, & Player Matchups July 4, 2025

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Data Skrive

The Minnesota Twins (41-46) and the Tampa Bay Rays (48-39) meet for the first of a three-game series on Friday at Target Field, starting at 4:10 p.m. ET. The favored Twins (-117) are coming off of a 1-2 series loss to the Marlins, and the underdog Rays (-103) enter the matchup after a 1-2 series loss to the Athletics. Minnesota’s Chris Paddack starts against Tampa Bay’s Zack Littell.

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Moneyline

Twins to win vs Rays -117

Bet $20, Payout $37.09

Twins vs. Rays betting lines

  • Favorite: Twins (-117)
  • Underdog: Rays (-103)
  • Over/under: 9.5

Twins betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Twins betting info

  • The Twins are 28-27 in games they were listed as the moneyline favorite (winning 50.9% of those games).
  • Minnesota has a 25-18 record (winning 58.1% of its games) when it has played as moneyline favorites of -117 or shorter.
  • Based on this matchup’s moneyline, the Twins have an implied win probability of 53.9%.
  • Minnesota has had an over/under set by bookmakers 86 times, and have combined with opponents to go over the total in 36 of those games (36-45-5).
  • The Twins have gone 46-40-0 against the spread this season.

Twins hitting info

  • Byron Buxton leads the Twins in home runs (19), runs batted in (51) and has a team-best batting average of .272.
  • Among hitters in baseball, Buxton ranks 14th in homers and 26th in RBI.
  • Trevor Larnach is batting .253 with 13 doubles, a triple, 12 home runs and 27 walks.
  • Larnach ranks 58th in home runs and 80th in RBI among hitters in MLB play.
  • Ty France is hitting .256 with 15 doubles, six home runs and 14 walks.
  • Carlos Correa is hitting .259 with 14 doubles, seven home runs and 16 walks.

Twins pitching rankings

  • The Twins pitching staff ranks seventh in the majors with a collective 8.8 strikeouts per nine innings.
  • Minnesota has a 4.16 team ERA that ranks 21st among all MLB pitching staffs.
  • The Twins average MLB’s 14th-ranked WHIP (1.256).
  • Twins pitchers combine to allow 92 total home runs at a clip of 1.1 per game (16th-fewest in MLB).
  • Minnesota fell to the Marlins 4-1 in its last game with eight strikeouts while allowing eight hits.

Rays betting info, hitting leaders, & pitching

Rays betting info

  • The Rays have entered the game as underdogs 38 times this season and won 19, or 50%, of those games.
  • Tampa Bay has a record of 17-15, a 53.1% win rate, when it’s set as an underdog of -103 or more by bookmakers this season.
  • The implied probability of a win by the Rays, based on the moneyline, is 50.7%.
  • Tampa Bay’s games have gone over the total in 36 of its 87 chances.
  • The Rays are 44-43-0 against the spread in their 87 chances this season.

Rays hitting info

  • Junior Caminero leads Tampa Bay in home runs (21) and runs batted in (53) this season while batting .259.
  • Among all hitters in the big leagues, Caminero ranks eighth in homers and 23rd in RBI.
  • Caminero has hit safely in four games in a row. In his last five games he is batting .238 with two doubles, a home run, two walks and two RBIs.
  • Yandy Diaz is batting .291 with an OBP of .347 and a slugging percentage of .474 this season.
  • Among all major league hitters, Diaz ranks 38th in homers and 33rd in RBI.
  • Brandon Lowe has 84 hits this season and a slash line of .274/.324/.495.
  • Lowe enters this game on a two-game hitting streak. During his last five outings he is batting .286 with a double, two home runs, three walks and three RBIs.
  • Jonathan Aranda leads Tampa Bay with a .320 batting average. He’s also hit 10 homers and has 45 RBI.

Rays pitching rankings

  • The Rays strike out 8.4 batters per nine innings as a pitching staff, 15th in MLB.
  • Tampa Bay has pitched to a 3.75 ERA this season, which ranks 11th in baseball.
  • The Rays have a combined WHIP of just 1.192 as a pitching staff, which is the third-best in baseball this season.
  • The Rays have allowed the fourth-most home runs this season with 115, or 1.3 per game.
  • Tampa Bay pitchers struck out 17 Athletics batters while allowing 10 hits in a 6-5 win last time out.
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Betting Guide

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