The Milwaukee Bucks (35-25) host the Dallas Mavericks (32-30) after winning three home games in a row. The Bucks are double-digit favorites by 11.5 points in the contest, which begins at 8 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 5, 2025. The over/under for the matchup is set at 225.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Bucks Cover -11.5 vs Mavericks -113
Bucks vs. Mavericks betting lines
- Bucks odds to win: -676
- Mavericks odds to win: +486
- Spread: Bucks (-11.5)
- Total: 225.5
- TV Channel: ESPN
- Live Stream: Fubo (Watch for free)
Bucks Statistics, Trends and More
As the Home Team
- Milwaukee is 21-9 in home contests with a 17-13 record against the spread at home.
- Milwaukee has a 1-3 record ATS in home games this year as 11.5-point favorites or more.
- Bucks games have hit the over on the set point total 15 times at home this season.
- Recent performance gives an edge to Milwaukee to beat the total. This year its home games averaged a total of 227.5 points per contest.
Bucks Recent Trends
- The Bucks have covered the spread seven times in their past 10 contests while putting up a 8-2 record straight-up in those games.
- The Bucks’ last 10 games saw five go over the total.
- The Bucks’ past 10 outings have ended with an average of 229.9 points scored. That’s 4.4 more points than this contest’s over/under.
- In the past 10 games, the Bucks are scoring 2.0 points more per game compared to their season average.
Bucks Betting Records
- The Bucks have won 29 of the 43 games they were the moneyline favorite this season (67.4%).
- Milwaukee has gone 2-2 when it has played as a moneyline favorite with odds of -676 or shorter (winning 50%).
- Based on this game’s moneyline, the Bucks’ implied win probability is 87.1%.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.0 (seventh in NBA) | 45.2 (second) | 44.1 (15th) | 46.0 (26th) | 25.3 (21st) | 13.0 (ninth) |
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Mavericks Statistics, Trends and More
As the Away Team
- The Mavericks have covered the spread 14 times on the road and are 13-17 in road contests.
- The Mavericks have a 1-0 record ATS on the road this year when playing as 11.5-point underdogs or more.
- Mavericks games have gone over the set point total 18 times on the road this season.
- Recent history hints at an edge to the Mavericks to beat the total. This year their road games averaged a total of 228.6 points per contest.
Mavericks Recent Trends
- The Mavericks have a 5-5 record straight-up in their past 10 matchups, while covering the spread six times in those games.
- The Mavericks and their opponents have hit the over in three of the past 10 games.
- The Mavericks’ past 10 games have ended with an average of 229.2 points scored. That’s 3.7 more points than this contest’s over/under.
- During their past 10 games, the Mavericks have a 110.3 points-per-game average, 4.4 points below their season-long scoring average.
Mavericks Betting Records
- This season, Dallas has been the underdog 32 times and won 12, or 37.5%, of those games.
- The Mavericks have a record of 1-1 when they’re set as an underdog of +486 or more by sportsbooks this season.
- The Mavericks have a 17.1% chance to win this game based on the implied probability of the moneyline.
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 47.4 (12th in NBA) | 45.9 (eighth) | 44.0 (16th) | 45.2 (22nd) | 25.2 (22nd) | 13.4 (14th) |
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