Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty betting: College basketball preview for March 6

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Middle Tennessee Blue Raiders (20-9, 11-5 CUSA) will try to extend a three-game winning streak when they host the Liberty Flames (23-6, 11-5 CUSA) on Thursday, March 6, 2025 at Murphy Center as just 1.5-point favorites. The contest airs at 7:30 p.m. ET on CBS Sports Network. The over/under is set at 140.5 for the matchup.

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Spread

Middle Tennessee Cover -1.5 vs Liberty -109

Bet $20, Payout $38.35

Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty betting lines

  • Middle Tennessee moneyline odds to win: -119
  • Liberty moneyline odds to win: -101
  • Spread: Middle Tennessee (-1.5)
  • Total: 140.5

Middle Tennessee statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Middle Tennessee has covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than road games. It has covered five times in 11 games when playing at home, and it has covered nine times in 13 games on the road.
  • The Blue Raiders have exceeded the over/under in a lower percentage of home games (27.3%) than road games (46.2%).
  • Middle Tennessee has won a lower percentage of its games as a moneyline favorite at home, going 8-3 (.727). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 2-0 (1.000).

Recent trends

  • The Blue Raiders have been scoring 71.8 points per game in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little lower than the 75.9 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 campaign.
  • Middle Tennessee’s defense has been less stingy lately, as the team has allowed 72.9 points per game during its last 10 compared to the 71.4 points per game its opponents are averaging this season.
  • The Blue Raiders’ 7.5 made three-pointers per-game average in their last 10 games are more than the 7.4 they average on the season, but those 10 games have seen a lower percentage of shots made, 31.1% compared to their season-long percentage of 32.1% from deep.

Middle Tennessee betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 16-11-0 (Home: 5-6-0; Away: 9-4-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 1.5+: 7-6-0 (As Favorite: 7-6-0; As Underdog: 9-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-15-0 (Home: 3-8-0; Away: 6-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-3 (Home: 8-3; Away: 2-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 8-6 (Home: 0-0; Away: 6-5)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
45.3 (146th in nation) 42.0 (79th) 34.8 (47th) 31.8 (223rd) 12.5 (263rd) 10.8 (140th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Middle Tennessee vs. Liberty? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Liberty statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • In 2024-25 against the spread, Liberty has a lower winning percentage at home (.500, 6-6-0 record) than on the road (.778, 7-2-0).
  • In 2024-25 a lower percentage of the Flames’ games have finished above the over/under at home (33.3%, four of 12) compared to away (44.4%, four of nine).

Recent trends

  • While the Flames are putting up 75.4 points per game in 2024-25, they have fallen short of that over their last 10 games, tallying 69.7 points per contest.
  • Liberty has fared worse defensively in its past 10 games, giving up 62.1 points per contest, 0.4 more points than its season average of 61.7.
  • The Flames are sinking 0.1 fewer treys per contest in their previous 10 games (10.1) compared to their season average (10.2), but they are producing a higher three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (38.1%) compared to their season mark (37.8%).

Liberty betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 17-9-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 7-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 1.5+: 4-0-0 (As Favorite: 13-9-0; As Underdog: 4-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-15-0 (Home: 4-8-0; Away: 4-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-6 (Home: 9-3; Away: 5-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 2-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.5 (24th in nation) 40.0 (17th) 30.5 (271st) 31.1 (185th) 16.3 (33rd) 9.6 (37th)
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