Michigan State vs. Michigan betting: College basketball preview for March 9

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The No. 8 Michigan State Spartans (25-5, 16-3 Big Ten) are 6.5-point favorites as they look to continue a six-game winning streak when they host the No. 17 Michigan Wolverines (22-8, 14-5 Big Ten) on Sunday, March 9, 2025 at Jack Breslin Students Events Center. The matchup airs at 12 p.m. ET on CBS. The over/under is set at 147 for the matchup.

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Spread

Michigan State Cover -6.5 vs Michigan -113

Bet $20, Payout $37.70

Michigan State vs. Michigan betting lines

  • Michigan State moneyline odds to win: -291
  • Michigan moneyline odds to win: +235
  • Spread: Michigan State (-6.5)
  • Total: 147

Michigan State statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • Michigan State has done a better job covering the spread in road games (7-2-0) than it has at home (9-6-0).
  • The Spartans have eclipsed the total less consistently when playing at home, hitting the over in four of 15 home matchups (26.7%). In road games, they have hit the over in three of nine games (33.3%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Michigan State has taken 14 of 15 games when playing at home, good for a .933 winning percentage. It has won three of four games away from home (.750) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • The Spartans have been scoring 72.7 points per contest in their last 10 appearances, an average that’s a little lower than the 78.4 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
  • The past 10 games have seen Michigan State give up 67.2 points per game, the same as its season-long average.
  • The Spartans’ last 10 outings have seen them make 6.2 three-pointers per game while shooting 32% from deep. Both numbers are up compared to their 2024-25 averages of 5.8 makes and 29.9%.

Michigan State betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 20-10-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 7-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 11-5-0 (As Favorite: 15-8-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-20-0 (Home: 4-11-0; Away: 3-6-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 20-3 (Home: 14-1; Away: 3-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 4-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
46.3 (100th in nation) 40.2 (19th) 36.9 (eighth) 28 (27th) 17.1 (14th) 10.8 (140th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Michigan State vs. Michigan? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Michigan statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Michigan has performed better against the spread away (5-4-0) than at home (6-10-0) this year.
  • In terms of the over/under, Wolverines games have gone over nine of 16 times at home (56.2%), and five of nine away (55.6%).

Recent trends

  • The Wolverines have performed worse offensively in their last 10 games, generating 71 points per contest, 8.1 fewer points their than season average of 79.1.
  • Over its past 10 games, Michigan is surrendering 72.9 points per game, 1.5 more points than its season average (71.4).
  • In their last 10 games, the Wolverines are draining 6.1 threes per contest, 2.4 fewer threes than their season average (8.5). They also own a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 contests (27.9%) compared to their season average (34.3%).

Michigan betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 13-17-0 (Home: 6-10-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • O-U-P: 16-14-0 (Home: 9-7-0; Away: 5-4-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-7 (Home: 13-3; Away: 4-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-1 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-1)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.1 (34th in nation) 40.8 (35th) 34.9 (44th) 29.3 (70th) 16.1 (40th) 14.1 (350th)
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