The No. 8 Michigan State Spartans (24-5, 15-3 Big Ten) will attempt to continue a five-game win streak when they visit the Iowa Hawkeyes (15-14, 6-12 Big Ten) on Thursday, March 6, 2025 at Carver-Hawkeye Arena as 6.5-point favorites. The game airs at 8 p.m. ET on Fox Sports 1. The matchup has an over/under of 155.5 points.
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Michigan State Cover -6.5 vs Iowa -116
Michigan State vs. Iowa betting lines
- Michigan State moneyline odds to win: -304
- Iowa moneyline odds to win: +243
- Spread: Michigan State (-6.5)
- Total: 155.5
Michigan State statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Michigan State has performed worse at home, covering nine times in 15 home games, and six times in eight road games.
- The Spartans have eclipsed the over/under in four of 15 home games (26.7%), compared to two of eight road games (25%).
- Michigan State has fared better as a moneyline favorite at home, putting up a home record of 14-1, compared to going 2-1 on the road.
Recent trends
- The Spartans have been scoring 70.9 points per game in their last 10 times on the court, an average that’s much lower than the 78.0 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 campaign.
- Michigan State has been more stingy on defense as of late, allowing 63.9 points per game during its last 10 outings compared to the 66.6 points per game its opponents average over the 2024-25 season.
- The Spartans’ past 10 outings have seen them make 6.1 three-pointers per game while shooting 31.8% from deep. Both numbers are up compared to their 2024-25 averages of 5.7 makes and 29.7%.
Michigan State betting records this season
- ATS Record: 19-10-0 (Home: 9-6-0; Away: 6-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 6.5+: 10-5-0 (As Favorite: 14-8-0; As Underdog: 5-2-0)
- O-U-P: 9-20-0 (Home: 4-11-0; Away: 2-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-3 (Home: 14-1; Away: 2-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 4-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.2 (103rd in nation) | 39.9 (15th) | 37.1 (seventh) | 27.9 (26th) | 17.2 (10th) | 11.0 (162nd) |
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Iowa statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Iowa has performed better against the spread at home (8-9-0) than on the road (2-7-0) this season.
- In terms of the over/under, Hawkeyes games have finished over less frequently at home (nine of 17, 52.9%) than away (five of nine, 55.6%).
- The Hawkeyes, as moneyline underdogs, have won a lower percentage of games at home (0-4) than on the road (1-8) this season.
Recent trends
- The Hawkeyes have played worse offensively in their last 10 games, tallying 72.5 points per contest, 9.7 fewer points their than season average of 82.2.
- Over its last 10 games, Iowa is giving up 80.3 points per contest, 1.2 more points than its season average (79.1).
- The Hawkeyes are draining 8.5 threes per contest over their previous 10 games, which is 1.2 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (9.7). In addition, they sport a worse three-point percentage over their past 10 contests (35.3%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (37.6%).
Iowa betting records this season
- ATS Record: 12-17-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 2-7-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 6.5+: 1-6-0 (As Favorite: 9-7-0; As Underdog: 3-10-0)
- O-U-P: 15-14-0 (Home: 9-8-0; Away: 5-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 14-2 (Home: 12-1; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-12 (Home: 0-4; Away: 1-8)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.6 (21st in nation) | 48.0 (354th) | 29.7 (306th) | 34.6 (343rd) | 18.3 (third) | 9.8 (44th) |
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