The Virginia Cavaliers (8-9, 1-5 ACC) will attempt to break a four-game losing streak when they visit the Louisville Cardinals (13-5, 6-1 ACC) on Saturday, January 18, 2025 at KFC Yum! Center as big, 15.5-point underdogs. The game airs at 12:00 PM ET on ESPN2. The point total is set at 129.5 for the matchup.
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Louisville Cover -15.5 vs Virginia -110
Louisville vs. Virginia betting lines
- Louisville moneyline odds to win: -1923
- Virginia moneyline odds to win: +990
- Spread: Louisville (-15.5)
- Total: 129.5
Louisville statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Louisville owns a worse record against the spread at home (4-6-0) than it does on the road (5-0-0).
- The Cardinals have exceeded the total in a lower percentage of home games (20%) than away games (60%).
- Louisville has won a lower percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 7-2 (.778). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it sports a record of 2-0 (1.000).
Recent trends
- The Cardinals’ offense has been better over their last 10 games, scoring 78.9 points per contest compared to the 78.2 they’ve averaged this year.
- Louisville has been a little suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, giving up 71.8 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 69.7 it has surrendered this year.
- The Cardinals’ last 10 outings have seen them make 10.3 three-pointers per game while shooting 33.9% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up from their 2024-25 averages of 9.6 makes and 30.9%.
Louisville betting records this season
- ATS Record: 11-7-0 (Home: 4-6-0; Away: 5-0-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 15.5+: 2-2-0 (As Favorite: 8-6-0; As Underdog: 3-1-0)
- O-U-P: 5-13-0 (Home: 2-8-0; Away: 3-2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-3 (Home: 7-2; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.7 (244th in nation) | 43.7 (208th) | 36.3 (31st) | 29.9 (117th) | 13.7 (189th) | 11.1 (134th) |
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Virginia statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Against the spread, Virginia has been better at home (5-5-0) than on the road (0-4-0).
- In 2024-25 a lower percentage of the Cavaliers’ games have finished above the over/under at home (30%, three of 10) compared to on the road (75%, three of four).
- As moneyline underdogs, the Cavaliers have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-3) than on the road (0-4).
Recent trends
- The Cavaliers are posting 60.2 points per game in their previous 10 games, which is 0.8 fewer points than their average for the season (61).
- Virginia is surrendering 66.7 points per game in its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 63.4 points allowed.
- The Cavaliers are sinking 7.2 three-pointers per contest over their last 10 games, which is 0.5 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.7). In addition, they sport a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (33.2%) compared to their season average from beyond the arc (35.5%).
Virginia betting records this season
- ATS Record: 6-11-0 (Home: 5-5-0; Away: 0-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 15.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 2-4-0; As Underdog: 4-7-0)
- O-U-P: 8-9-0 (Home: 3-7-0; Away: 3-1-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 6-0 (Home: 6-0; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-9 (Home: 1-3; Away: 0-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.7 (290th in nation) | 41.1 (69th) | 27.9 (348th) | 31.3 (183rd) | 14.2 (150th) | 10.2 (59th) |
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