The No. 14 Louisville Cardinals (23-6, 16-2 ACC) are heavily favored (-13.5) to extend a seven-game win streak when they host the California Golden Bears (13-16, 6-12 ACC) at 9 p.m. ET on Wednesday, March 5, 2025 at KFC Yum! Center. The matchup airs on ACC Network. The point total in the matchup is set at 153.5.
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Louisville Cover -13.5 vs Cal -122
Louisville vs. Cal betting lines
- Louisville moneyline odds to win: -1205
- Cal moneyline odds to win: +737
- Spread: Louisville (-13.5)
- Total: 153.5
Louisville statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- In home games, Louisville has a worse record against the spread (6-9-0) compared to its ATS record in road games (9-2-0).
- The Cardinals have hit the over on the total in five of 15 home games (33.3%). They’ve fared better in away games, going over the total in five of 11 matchups (45.5%).
- As a moneyline favorite, Louisville has the same winning percentage when playing at home compared to when playing on the road (.857).
Recent trends
- The Cardinals have seen an uptick in scoring lately, racking up 81.7 points per game in their last 10 outings, 2.2 points more than the 79.5 they’ve scored this year.
- The past 10 games have seen Louisville allow 0.6 fewer points per game (68.6) than its season-long average (69.2).
- The Cardinals’ past 10 contests have seen them make 10.5 three-pointers per game while shooting 38.3% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are up from their 2024-25 averages of 9.8 makes and 33.1%.
Louisville betting records this season
- ATS Record: 17-12-0 (Home: 6-9-0; Away: 9-2-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 13.5+: 3-6-0 (As Favorite: 13-11-0; As Underdog: 4-1-0)
- O-U-P: 10-19-0 (Home: 5-10-0; Away: 5-6-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-4 (Home: 12-2; Away: 6-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 4-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 3-1)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 45.4 (143rd in nation) | 43.4 (154th) | 35.1 (40th) | 29.9 (102nd) | 14.3 (125th) | 10.9 (150th) |
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Cal statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- This year, Cal is 8-9-0 at home against the spread (.471 winning percentage). On the road, it is 9-2-0 ATS (.818).
- In 2024-25, a higher percentage of the Golden Bears’ games have finished above the over/under at home (64.7%, 11 of 17) compared to on the road (27.3%, three of 11).
- This season the Golden Bears are 1-2 at home as moneyline underdogs (.333 winning percentage). On the road they are 2-9 (.182).
Recent trends
- The Golden Bears are scoring 73.4 points per contest over their past 10 games, which is 1.1 fewer points than their average for the season (74.5).
- Cal has fared worse defensively in its previous 10 games, giving up 76.9 points per contest, 1.5 more points than its season average of 75.4.
- In their previous 10 games, the Golden Bears are sinking 7.3 three-pointers per contest, 0.1 more than their season average (7.2). However, they own a worse three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (30.4%) compared to their season average (32.2%).
Cal betting records this season
- ATS Record: 17-12-0 (Home: 8-9-0; Away: 9-2-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 13.5+: 3-1-0 (As Favorite: 7-7-0; As Underdog: 10-5-0)
- O-U-P: 14-14-1 (Home: 11-5-1; Away: 3-8-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-4 (Home: 10-4; Away: 0-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-12 (Home: 1-2; Away: 2-9)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 42.1 (318th in nation) | 46.6 (324th) | 33.0 (118th) | 31.3 (195th) | 10.5 (355th) | 11.1 (170th) |
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