Liberty vs. Western Kentucky betting: College basketball preview for March 8

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Liberty Flames (24-6, 12-5 CUSA) visit the Western Kentucky Hilltoppers (17-13, 8-9 CUSA) after winning three road games in a row. The Flames are favored by 3.5 points in the contest, which starts at 3 p.m. ET on Saturday, March 8, 2025. The point total is set at 141.5 in the matchup.

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Spread

Liberty Cover -3.5 vs Western Kentucky -104

Bet $20, Payout $39.23

Liberty vs. Western Kentucky betting lines

  • Liberty moneyline odds to win: -159
  • Western Kentucky moneyline odds to win: +134
  • Spread: Liberty (-3.5)
  • Total: 141.5

Liberty statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • Against the spread, Liberty has played worse when playing at home, covering six times in 12 home games, and eight times in 10 road games.
  • The Flames have eclipsed the total in four of 12 home games (33.3%). They’ve fared better on the road, going over the total in five of 10 matchups (50%).
  • As a moneyline favorite, Liberty has won a higher percentage of its games at home (.750) compared to road games (.714).

Recent trends

  • In their last 10 games, the Flames have been scoring 70.1 points per contest, an average that’s slightly lower than the 75.7 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
  • Liberty has been slightly suspect on the defensive end of the floor recently, allowing 64.3 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 62.4 it has surrendered this season.
  • The Flames are trending down from beyond the arc over their last 10 outings, making 9.8 threes per game and shooting 37% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 10.2 makes and 37.7% from distance in the 2024-25 season.

Liberty betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 18-9-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 8-2-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 3.5+: 11-7-0 (As Favorite: 13-9-0; As Underdog: 5-0-0)
  • O-U-P: 12-15-0 (Home: 4-8-0; Away: 5-5-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-6 (Home: 9-3; Away: 5-2)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-0 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-0)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
48.7 (19th in nation) 40.1 (18th) 30.3 (281st) 31.2 (191st) 16.4 (29th) 9.6 (38th)

Need to know more about sports betting before you put down a wager on Liberty vs. Western Kentucky? Here’s everything you need to know about how to bet.

Western Kentucky statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • This season, Western Kentucky is 8-8-0 at home against the spread (.500 winning percentage). Away, it is 7-6-0 ATS (.538).
  • In 2024-25, a higher percentage of the Hilltoppers’ games have finished above the over/under at home (50%, eight of 16) than away (23.1%, three of 13).

Recent trends

  • The Hilltoppers are posting 73.7 points per contest in their past 10 games, which is 2.1 fewer points than their average for the season (75.8).
  • Western Kentucky has fared better defensively over its previous 10 games, surrendering 73.7 points per contest, 0.9 fewer points than its season average of 74.6 allowed.
  • The Hilltoppers are draining 9 treys per game with a 35% three-point percentage over their past 10 games, compared to their season averages of 8.4 and 33.7%.

Western Kentucky betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 15-14-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 7-6-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 3.5+: 6-4-0 (As Favorite: 9-9-0; As Underdog: 6-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 11-18-0 (Home: 8-8-0; Away: 3-10-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 12-5 (Home: 11-4; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-8 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
42.7 (292nd in nation) 40.9 (40th) 33 (119th) 37.3 (363rd) 12.2 (284th) 10.7 (130th)
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