The Los Angeles Chargers, led by Ladd McConkey, will square off against the New England Patriots at 1:00 PM ET on Saturday for a Week 17 NFL contest. In this piece we’ll dig into the statistical trends and insights to help you make good predictions on prop bets for McConkey’s contest.
Receiving Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $38.18
Ladd McConkey to go over 73.5 yards
Ladd McConkey Prop Lines
- Matchup: Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Date: December 28, 2024
- Receiving yards prop: Over 73.5 (-110)
Ladd McConkey Stats and Trends
- McConkey has 69 receptions for a team-best 960 yards and five TDs this season. He’s been targeted 94 times, producing 68.6 yards per game.
- McConkey’s 68.6 receiving yards average is 4.9 fewer than his prop total on Saturday.
- McConkey has recorded over 73.5 receiving yards in 35.7% of his opportunities this season (five out of 14).
- His average prop total for receiving yards is 55.6. He has collected 13.0 more per game than that.
- McConkey has hit the over on his receiving yards prop bet in eight of 12 games.
- He has caught a touchdown pass in four of 14 games this year, including more than one TD pass on one occasion.
Recent Performances vs. the Patriots
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bengals | 154 | 0 |
| 2 | Seahawks | 312 | 1 |
| 3 | Jets | 267 | 2 |
| 4 | 49ers | 283 | 1 |
| 5 | Dolphins | 179 | 0 |
| 6 | Texans | 176 | 3 |
| 7 | Jaguars | 193 | 1 |
| 8 | Jets | 224 | 2 |
| 9 | Titans | 233 | 2 |
| 10 | Bears | 69 | 0 |
| 11 | Rams | 295 | 4 |
| 12 | Dolphins | 308 | 4 |
| 13 | Colts | 109 | 2 |
| 15 | Cardinals | 232 | 0 |
| 16 | Bills | 152 | 1 |
Chargers Away Splits
- On the road, the Chargers average fewer points (19.3 per game) than they do overall (21.9). But they also concede fewer in road games (14) than overall (18.3).
- On the road, the Chargers accumulate fewer yards (296.7 per game) than they do overall (307.3). But they also allow fewer in road games (298.1) than overall (337.9).
- The Chargers accumulate 194.9 passing yards per game in road games (5.9 fewer than overall), and concede 185.9 in away games (27.9 fewer than overall).
- The Chargers pick up fewer rushing yards in road games (101.9 per game) than they do overall (106.5), but they also allow fewer in away games (112.3 per game) than overall (124.1).
- On the road, the Chargers convert more third downs (44.3%) than they do overall (37.9%). They also allow opponents to convert on fewer third downs in road games (33.3%) than overall (37.1%).
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