The No. 14 Troy Trojans (23-10) are 11.5-point underdogs to advance to the second round of the NCAA Tournament when they face off against the No. 3 Kentucky Wildcats (22-11) on Friday. Here are some insights into this 3-14 matchup in the Midwest Region bracket that starts at 7:10 p.m. ET, live on CBS. The matchup has an over/under of 151.5.
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Kentucky Cover -11.5 vs Troy -107
Kentucky vs. Troy betting lines
- Kentucky moneyline odds to win: -719
- Troy moneyline odds to win: +507
- Spread: Kentucky (-11.5)
- Total: 151.5
Kentucky statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Wildcats have been racking up 82.0 points per contest, an average that’s a little lower than the 85.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- Kentucky has been more porous on defense lately, allowing 80.9 points per game over its past 10 outings compared to the 77.9 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2024-25 season.
- The Wildcats are trending down from deep during their last 10 outings, making 8.5 threes per game and shooting 36.0% from long range in comparison to their season-long averages of 9.6 makes and 37.4% from distance in the 2024-25 season.
Kentucky betting records this season
- ATS Record: 16-17-0 (Home: 10-8-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 11.5+: 5-4-0 (As Favorite: 9-13-0; As Underdog: 7-4-0)
- O-U-P: 19-14-0 (Home: 11-7-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-6 (Home: 14-2; Away: 1-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 6-5 (Home: 1-1; Away: 3-3)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48.3 (21st in nation) | 43.7 (173rd) | 34.5 (50th) | 31.7 (213th) | 16.8 (19th) | 10.5 (117th) |
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Troy statistics, trends and more
Recent trends
- The Trojans are averaging 75.1 points per contest in their past 10 games, which is 1.2 more than their average for the season (73.9).
- Troy is surrendering 66.0 points per contest over its past 10 games, compared to its season average of 65.4 points allowed.
- The Trojans are making 7.4 three-pointers per game over their past 10 games, which is 0.3 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (7.7). In addition, they sport a lower three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (29.5%) compared to their season average from three-point land (29.9%).
Troy betting records this season
- ATS Record: 21-10-1 (Home: 8-6-0; Away: 10-4-1)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 11.5+: 1-2-0 (As Favorite: 17-7-1; As Underdog: 4-3-0)
- O-U-P: 15-17-0 (Home: 10-4-0; Away: 2-13-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-5 (Home: 9-4; Away: 8-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-5 (Home: 0-0; Away: 1-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 43.8 (227th in nation) | 40.3 (23rd) | 34.9 (37th) | 29.1 (58th) | 13.8 (158th) | 12.7 (316th) |
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