U.S. Bank Stadium features Week 11 action as the Minnesota Vikings and Justin Jefferson hit the field against the Chicago Bears at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. Here is analysis of Jefferson’s prop bets, stats and trends ahead of this matchup to help you examine your best bets.

Justin Jefferson Prop Lines

• Matchup: Minnesota Vikings vs. Chicago Bears
• Time: 1 p.m. ET
• Date: November 16, 2025
• Receiving yards prop: Over 74.5 (-110)

Justin Jefferson Stats and Trends

• Jefferson has collected a team-best 686 receiving yards (76.2 per game) and two TDs, reeling in 51 balls out of 84 targets this campaign.
• Jefferson averages 76.2 receiving yards, 1.7 more than his prop bet for Sunday.
• In 55.6% of his games this season (five of nine), Jefferson has totaled over 74.5 receiving yards.
• He has an average receiving yards prop total of 77.1. But he accumulates 0.9 fewer yards per game than that.
• In three of nine games this season, Jefferson has hit the over on his prop for receiving yards.
• He has had a touchdown catch in two of nine games this season, but had only one TD in each of those games.

Recent Performances vs. the Bears

Vikings Home Splits

• The Vikings score 23.8 points per game in home games (1.5 more than their overall average), and concede 21.8 at home (1.9 less than overall).
• At home, the Vikings rack up 325.5 yards per game and concede 294.8. That’s more than they gain overall (299.9), but less than they allow (317.2).
• The Vikings’ average yards passing at home (211.5) is higher than their overall average (197.8). And their average yards allowed at home (177.8) is lower than overall (191.7).
• The Vikings accumulate 114.0 rushing yards per game at home (11.9 more than their overall average), and concede 117.0 at home (8.6 less than overall).
• The Vikings convert 34.6% of third downs in home games (2.8% higher than their overall average), and give up 35.3% at home (0.3% lower than overall).