Week 17 NFL action pits Justin Herbert and his Los Angeles Chargers teammates against the New England Patriots at 1:00 PM ET on Saturday In this piece, we’ll dig into Herbert’s stats and trends to help you find the top bets among his props for this outing.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.39
Justin Herbert to go over 232.5 yards
Justin Herbert Prop Lines
- Matchup: Los Angeles Chargers at New England Patriots
- Time: 1:00 PM ET
- Date: December 28, 2024
- Passing yards prop: Over 232.5 (-115)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 13.5 (-115)
Justin Herbert Stats and Trends
- Herbert has passed for 3,243 yards (216.2 per game), completing 64.7% of his passes, with 18 TDs and three INTs.
- Herbert’s passing yardage average this year — 216.2 yards per game — is 16.3 lower than Saturday’s over/under.
- In 15 games this season, Herbert has exceeded 232.5 passing yards six times.
- His average prop bet for passing yards this season has been 219.6. His actual passing average is below that — by 3.4 yards per game.
- This year, Herbert has bettered his passing yards prop total in six games (40.0%).
- He has completed a touchdown pass in 12 of 15 games this season — including multiple TDs six times.
- Herbert also has rushed for 252 yards on 62 attempts with two touchdowns, picking up 16.8 yards per game.
Recent Performances vs. the Patriots
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Bengals | 154 | 0 |
| 2 | Seahawks | 312 | 1 |
| 3 | Jets | 267 | 2 |
| 4 | 49ers | 283 | 1 |
| 5 | Dolphins | 179 | 0 |
| 6 | Texans | 176 | 3 |
| 7 | Jaguars | 193 | 1 |
| 8 | Jets | 224 | 2 |
| 9 | Titans | 233 | 2 |
| 10 | Bears | 69 | 0 |
| 11 | Rams | 295 | 4 |
| 12 | Dolphins | 308 | 4 |
| 13 | Colts | 109 | 2 |
| 15 | Cardinals | 232 | 0 |
| 16 | Bills | 152 | 1 |
Chargers Away Splits
- On the road, the Chargers score fewer points (19.3 per game) than they do overall (21.9). But they also concede fewer in away games (14) than overall (18.3).
- The Chargers accumulate 296.7 yards per game away from home (10.6 fewer than overall), and give up 298.1 on the road (39.8 fewer than overall).
- On the road, the Chargers accumulate fewer passing yards (194.9 per game) than they do overall (200.8). But they also allow fewer passing yards on the road (185.9) than overall (213.8).
- The Chargers accumulate 101.9 rushing yards per game on the road (4.6 fewer than overall), and allow 112.3 rushing yards in away games (11.8 fewer than overall).
- On the road, the Chargers convert more third downs (44.3%) than they do overall (37.9%). They also allow opponents to convert on fewer third downs on the road (33.3%) than overall (37.1%).
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