NFL action for Week 10 includes the Buffalo Bills and Josh Allen taking on the Miami Dolphins at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday. Let’s break down all of the prop bets available for Allen in this matchup, using stats and trends to determine sound predictions.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $37.70
Josh Allen to go over 234.5 yards
Josh Allen Prop Lines
- Matchup: Buffalo Bills at Miami Dolphins
- Time: 1 p.m. ET
- Date: November 9, 2025
- Passing yards prop: Over 234.5 (-113)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 30.5 (-112)
Josh Allen Stats and Trends
- Allen has thrown for 1,833 yards (229.1 per game), completing 70.4% of his passes, with 13 TDs and four INTs.
- Allen’s passing yardage average this season — 229.1 yards per game — is 5.4 lower than Sunday’s over/under.
- In three games this season, Allen has thrown for more than 234.5 yards.
- He has come up short of his season prop bet average (230.1 passing yards) by 1.0 yard per game.
- So far this year, Allen has topped his passing yards prop total in three of eight opportunities.
- He has tossed a touchdown pass in seven of eight games this year, with more than one TD throw five times.
- In addition Allen has 280 yards on the ground (35.0 per game), on 55 carries plus seven touchdowns.
Recent Performances vs. the Dolphins
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Colts | 262 | 1 |
| 2 | Patriots | 211 | 2 |
| 3 | Bills | 203 | 3 |
| 4 | Jets | 207 | 1 |
| 5 | Panthers | 179 | 2 |
| 6 | Chargers | 263 | 2 |
| 7 | Browns | 102 | 0 |
| 8 | Falcons | 168 | 0 |
| 9 | Ravens | 188 | 4 |
Bills Away Splits
- The Bills score 28.0 points per game in road games (1.4 fewer than overall) and allow 14.3 in road games (6.6 fewer than overall).
- The Bills pick up 368.0 yards per game on the road (17.5 fewer than overall), and concede 280.3 in road games (31.0 fewer than overall).
- The Bills pick up 167.0 passing yards per game in away games (57.0 fewer than overall), and concede 139.0 on the road (30.9 fewer than overall).
- The Bills pick up more rushing yards on the road (201.0 per game) than they do overall (161.5), and allow fewer away from home (141.3 per game) than overall (141.4).
- When playing on the road, the Bills convert fewer third downs (40.0%) than they do overall (45.7%). But they also allow opponents to convert on fewer third downs in away games (26.5%) than overall (37.9%).
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