Week 17 action in the NFL features Jayden Daniels and the Washington Commanders facing off against the Atlanta Falcons at 8:20 PM ET on Sunday. Let’s break down Daniels’ prop bets, stats and trends ahead of this matchup to help you come up with good predictions.
Passing Yards Prop
Bet $20, Payout $36.00
Jayden Daniels to go over 220.5 yards
Jayden Daniels Prop Lines
- Matchup: Washington Commanders vs. Atlanta Falcons
- Time: 8:20 PM ET
- Date: December 29, 2024
- Passing yards prop: Over 220.5 (-125)
- Rushing yards prop: Over 48.5 (-115)
Jayden Daniels Stats and Trends
- Daniels has thrown for 3,303 yards (220.2 per game), completing 69.7% of his throws, with 22 TDs and eight INTs.
- Daniels’ passing yardage average this year — 220.2 yards per game — is 0.3 below Sunday’s over/under.
- In 15 games this year, Daniels has gone over 220.5 passing yards nine times.
- His 220.2 passing yards per game average is 4.7 higher than his average prop bet total of 215.5.
- So far this year, Daniels has eclipsed his passing yards prop total in nine of 15 opportunities.
- He has completed a touchdown pass in 11 of 15 games this season — including multiple TDs seven times.
- Daniels has also helped out via the running game, with 737 yards (49.1 per game) on 128 attempts and six TDs.
Recent Performances vs. the Falcons
| Week | Opponent | Pass Yards Allowed | Pass TDs Allowed |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Steelers | 133 | 0 |
| 2 | Eagles | 179 | 1 |
| 3 | Chiefs | 217 | 2 |
| 4 | Saints | 235 | 0 |
| 5 | Buccaneers | 173 | 3 |
| 6 | Panthers | 221 | 2 |
| 7 | Seahawks | 236 | 2 |
| 8 | Buccaneers | 330 | 3 |
| 9 | Cowboys | 241 | 2 |
| 10 | Saints | 269 | 2 |
| 11 | Broncos | 295 | 4 |
| 13 | Chargers | 131 | 0 |
| 14 | Vikings | 318 | 5 |
| 15 | Raiders | 184 | 1 |
| 16 | Giants | 189 | 1 |
Commanders Home Splits
- The Commanders’ average points scored at home (30.5) is higher than their overall average (28.8). But their average points allowed at home (20.9) is lower than overall (23.2).
- At home, the Commanders accumulate 405.8 yards per game and give up 278.8. That’s more than they gain overall (373.5), but less than they allow (322.9).
- The Commanders’ average yards passing at home (231.1) is higher than their overall average (220.9). And their average yards conceded at home (153.6) is lower than overall (185.9).
- At home, the Commanders rack up 174.6 rushing yards per game and give up 125.1. That’s more than they gain overall (152.7), and less than they allow (137).
- The Commanders’ offensive third-down percentage at home (45.9%) is higher than their overall average (45.5%). And their defensive third-down percentage at home (27.6%) is lower than overall (38.9%).
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