Incarnate Word vs. East Texas A&M betting: College basketball preview for March 1

Data Skrive
Data Skrive

The Incarnate Word Cardinals (15-14, 8-10 Southland) are 4.5-point favorites as they attempt to build on a three-game winning streak when they visit the East Texas A&M Lions (4-25, 2-16 Southland) on Saturday, March 1, 2025 at Texas A&M-Commerce Field House. The matchup airs at 3:15 p.m. ET on ESPN+. The matchup’s point total is 136.5.

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Incarnate Word Cover -4.5 vs East Texas A&M -104

Bet $20, Payout $39.23

Incarnate Word vs. East Texas A&M betting lines

  • Incarnate Word moneyline odds to win: -180
  • East Texas A&M moneyline odds to win: +149
  • Spread: Incarnate Word (-4.5)
  • Total: 136.5

Incarnate Word statistics, trends and more

As the away team

  • At home, Incarnate Word sports a worse record against the spread (6-7-0) compared to its ATS record in away games (7-5-0).
  • The Cardinals have gone over the total in four of 13 home games (30.8%). They’ve done better in away games, eclipsing the total in five of 12 matchups (41.7%).
  • When playing at home, Incarnate Word has won more consistently as a moneyline favorite, posting a record of 8-4 (.667). On the road, it is 1-1 (.500) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

  • The Cardinals’ offense has been less productive over their last 10 games, racking up 67.4 points a contest compared to the 73.6 they’ve averaged this year.
  • Incarnate Word has been a little improved on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 66.2 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 68.7 it has surrendered per game this year.
  • The Cardinals’ last 10 contests have seen them make 7 three-pointers per game while shooting 34.8% from deep. Both numbers are below their 2024-25 averages of 8 makes and 37.6%.

Incarnate Word betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-12-0 (Home: 6-7-0; Away: 7-5-0)
  • ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 4-3-0 (As Favorite: 8-7-0; As Underdog: 6-5-0)
  • O-U-P: 10-16-0 (Home: 4-9-0; Away: 5-7-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-5 (Home: 8-4; Away: 1-1)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-9 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-8)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
47.1 (58th in nation) 45 (250th) 31.1 (233rd) 27.7 (22nd) 12.4 (267th) 10.3 (87th)

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East Texas A&M statistics, trends and more

As the home team

  • This year, East Texas A&M is 4-8-0 at home against the spread (.333 winning percentage). On the road, it is 10-7-0 ATS (.588).
  • In terms of the over/under, Lions games have gone over six of 12 times at home (50%), and nine of 17 away (52.9%).
  • In 2024-25 as moneyline underdogs, the Lions have a better winning percentage at home (.273, 3-8 record) than away (.000, 0-16).

Recent trends

  • The Lions are putting up 65.1 points per game over their past 10 games, compared to their season average of 64.3.
  • While East Texas A&M is ceding 75.4 points per game in 2024-25, it has bettered that mark in its past 10 games, allowing 71.1 points per contest.
  • Over their last 10 games, the Lions are sinking 9.2 treys per game, 0.8 more than their season average (8.4). They also own a better three-point percentage over their previous 10 games (33.9%) compared to their season average (31.2%).

East Texas A&M betting records this season

  • ATS Record: 14-15-0 (Home: 4-8-0; Away: 10-7-0)
  • ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 10-13-0 (As Favorite: 1-1-0; As Underdog: 13-14-0)
  • O-U-P: 15-14-0 (Home: 6-6-0; Away: 9-8-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Favorite: 1-1 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-0)
  • Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-24 (Home: 3-8; Away: 0-16)
Field Goal % Opp. Field Goal % Rebounds Opp. Rebounds Assists Turnovers
41.6 (331st in nation) 47.5 (343rd) 26.7 (358th) 33.6 (314th) 13.9 (155th) 15 (360th)
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