The No. 13 Illinois Fighting Illini (12-3, 4-1 Big Ten) are heavy, 13.5-point favorites as they try to extend a five-game win streak when they host the USC Trojans (9-6, 1-3 Big Ten) on Saturday, January 11, 2025 at State Farm Center. The contest airs at 12:00 PM ET on Big Ten Network. The matchup has an over/under of 154 points.

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Illinois vs. USC betting lines

• Illinois moneyline odds to win: -1064
• USC moneyline odds to win: +666
• Spread: Illinois (-13.5)
• Total: 154

Illinois statistics, trends and more

As the home team

• Illinois covered the spread in a lower percentage of its home games than away games last year. Illinois covered eight times in 18 games when playing at home, and it covered seven times in 11 games when playing on the road.
• The Fighting Illini eclipsed the total less often at home last year, hitting the over in nine of 18 home matchups (50%). In road games, they hit the over in nine of 11 games (81.8%).
• As a moneyline favorite last season, Illinois took 13 of 16 games when playing at home, good for a .812 winning percentage. Illinois won four of six games away from home (.667) as a moneyline favorite.

Recent trends

• The Fighting Illini have seen a downturn in scoring lately, racking up 87.6 points per game in their last 10 outings, 0.3 points fewer than the 87.9 they’ve scored this year.
• Illinois has been more porous on the defensive side of the ball lately, allowing 67.4 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 66.2 points per game its opponents are averaging on the 2024-25 season.
• While the Fighting Illini are connecting on fewer threes per game over their past 10 contests (10.2 per game) in comparison to their season-long average (10.7), they are doing so while shooting a higher percentage (34.3% from deep over the last 10, 33.9% on the season).

Illinois betting records this season

• ATS Record: 8-7-0 (Home: 6-3-0; Away: 1-2-0)
• ATS Record When Favored by 13.5+: 5-1-0 (As Favorite: 7-5-0; As Underdog: 1-2-0)
• O-U-P: 8-7-0 (Home: 3-6-0; Away: 2-1-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 10-1 (Home: 7-0; Away: 1-1)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-2 (Home: 0-1; Away: 1-0)

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USC statistics, trends and more

As the away team

• Last season, USC was 7-8-0 at home against the spread (.467 winning percentage). On the road, it was 6-6-0 ATS (.500).
• Trojans games went above the over/under less often at home (eight times out of 15) than on the road (eight of 12) last year.
• The Trojans, as moneyline underdogs, won a higher percentage of games at home (1-2) than on the road (2-8) last year.

Recent trends

• The Trojans are scoring 73.8 points per game over their previous 10 games, which is 1.9 fewer points than their average for the season (75.7).
• Over its last 10 games, USC is allowing 70.2 points per game, 0.2 fewer points than its season average (70.4).
• The Trojans are draining 5.9 threes per game over their past 10 games, which is 0.4 fewer three-pointers than their average for the season (6.3). That said, they have a better three-point percentage over their past 10 games (33.3%) compared to their season average from downtown (33.2%).

USC betting records this season

• ATS Record: 5-10-0 (Home: 4-7-0; Away: 1-1-0)
• O-U-P: 10-5-0 (Home: 7-4-0; Away: 2-0-0)
• Record When Moneyline Favorite: 8-1 (Home: 8-1; Away: 0-0)
• Record When Moneyline Underdog: 1-5 (Home: 0-2; Away: 1-1)