The No. 18 Purdue Boilermakers (21-9, 13-6 Big Ten) are 4.5-point underdogs as they look to end a three-game road losing streak when they visit the Illinois Fighting Illini (19-11, 11-8 Big Ten) on Friday, March 7, 2025 at State Farm Center. The game airs at 8 p.m. ET on FOX. The matchup has an over/under of 158.5.
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Illinois Cover -4.5 vs Purdue -110
Illinois vs. Purdue betting lines
- Illinois moneyline odds to win: -199
- Purdue moneyline odds to win: +165
- Spread: Illinois (-4.5)
- Total: 158.5
Illinois statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Against the spread, Illinois has fared better at home, covering nine times in 16 home games, and five times in 10 road games.
- When it comes to point totals, the Fighting Illini hit the over less often when playing at home, as they’ve gone over the total seven times in 16 opportunities this season (43.8%). In road games, they have hit the over six times in 10 opportunities (60%).
- Illinois has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 11-3 (.786). In road games as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 3-3 (.500).
Recent trends
- The Fighting Illini have seen a downturn in scoring lately, putting up 79.2 points per game in their last 10 outings, 4.4 points fewer than the 83.6 they’ve scored this season.
- Illinois has been suspect on the defensive end of the floor of late, giving up 81.1 points per game over its last 10 outings compared to the 73.3 it has surrendered this season.
- The Fighting Illini’s past 10 outings have seen them make 8.2 three-pointers per game while shooting 28.4% from beyond the arc. Both numbers are down from their 2024-25 averages of 9.3 makes and 30.8%.
Illinois betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-15-0 (Home: 9-7-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 4.5+: 11-9-0 (As Favorite: 12-11-0; As Underdog: 3-4-0)
- O-U-P: 17-12-1 (Home: 7-8-1; Away: 6-4-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-6 (Home: 11-3; Away: 3-3)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-5 (Home: 0-1; Away: 2-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.9 (174th in nation) | 41.5 (56th) | 40.0 (first) | 30.6 (149th) | 14.7 (103rd) | 11.2 (182nd) |
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Purdue statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- Purdue’s winning percentage against the spread at home is .625 (10-6-0). Away, it is .600 (6-4-0).
- In terms of the over/under, Boilermakers games have gone over 13 of 16 times at home (81.2%), and three of 10 away (30%).
- The Boilermakers’ winning percentage at home as moneyline underdogs is 1.000 (1-0), and away it is .200 (1-4).
Recent trends
- While the Boilermakers are posting 78.2 points per game in 2024-25, they have bettered that mark over their past 10 games, producing 80.9 a contest.
- While Purdue is ceding 70.0 points per game in 2024-25, it has been worse over its past 10 games, allowing 74.7 points per contest.
- In their last 10 games, the Boilermakers are draining 9.1 three-pointers per game, 0.7 more than their season average (8.4). They also have a higher three-point percentage over their last 10 contests (39.9%) compared to their season average (38.9%).
Purdue betting records this season
- ATS Record: 17-13-0 (Home: 10-6-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 4.5+: 0-2-0 (As Favorite: 14-9-0; As Underdog: 3-4-0)
- O-U-P: 18-12-0 (Home: 13-3-0; Away: 3-7-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 19-4 (Home: 13-2; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 2-5 (Home: 1-0; Away: 1-4)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 49.6 (fourth in nation) | 45.2 (256th) | 29.6 (314th) | 28.2 (31st) | 16.2 (36th) | 10.2 (86th) |
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