The No. 5 Florida Gators (26-4, 13-4 SEC) are heavily favored (by 12.5 points) to build on a six-game home win streak when they host the Ole Miss Rebels (21-9, 10-7 SEC) on Saturday, March 8, 2025 at 6 p.m. ET. The matchup’s point total is 157.5.
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Bet $20, Payout $38.02
Florida Cover -12.5 vs Ole Miss -111
Florida vs. Ole Miss betting lines
- Florida moneyline odds to win: -840
- Ole Miss moneyline odds to win: +571
- Spread: Florida (-12.5)
- Total: 157.5
Florida statistics, trends and more
As the home team
- Florida has done a better job covering the spread at home (11-4-0) than it has in road tilts (6-4-0).
- The Gators have hit the over on the over/under in a lower percentage of games at home (46.7%) than away games (50%).
- Florida has won a higher percentage of its matchups as a moneyline favorite when playing at home, going 14-1 (.933). On the road as a moneyline favorite, it has a record of 4-1 (.800).
Recent trends
- In their last 10 games, the Gators have been scoring 82.4 points per game, an average that’s a little lower than the 84.3 they’ve scored over the course of the 2024-25 season.
- Florida has been more porous on defense lately, allowing 73.5 points per game over its past 10 contests compared to the 68.1 points per game its opponents average in the 2024-25 season.
- The Gators’ last 10 outings have seen them make 10.7 three-pointers per game while shooting 36.8% from deep. Both numbers are up compared to their 2024-25 averages of 9.8 makes and 35.2%.
Florida betting records this season
- ATS Record: 22-8-0 (Home: 11-4-0; Away: 6-4-0)
- ATS Record When Favored by 12.5+: 6-3-0 (As Favorite: 19-6-0; As Underdog: 3-2-0)
- O-U-P: 14-16-0 (Home: 7-8-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 23-2 (Home: 14-1; Away: 4-1)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 3-2 (Home: 0-0; Away: 3-2)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 46.8 (71st in nation) | 39.7 (14th) | 39.3 (third) | 30.8 (160th) | 15.7 (55th) | 10.1 (69th) |
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Ole Miss statistics, trends and more
As the away team
- In 2024-25 against the spread, Ole Miss has a better winning percentage at home (.438, 7-9-0 record) than away (.400, 4-6-0).
- Rebels games have gone above the over/under less frequently at home (seven times out of 16) than away (five of 10) this season.
- When moneyline underdogs, the Rebels have won a higher percentage of games at home (1-1) than away (3-5).
Recent trends
- The Rebels are tallying 78.0 points per contest over their previous 10 games, compared to their season average of 77.9.
- Ole Miss is ceding 80.7 points per game in its previous 10 games, compared to its season average of 71.2 points allowed.
- In their past 10 games, the Rebels are draining 7.3 threes per game, 1.1 fewer threes than their season average (8.4). They also own a worse three-point percentage over their last 10 games (34.0%) compared to their season average (34.7%).
Ole Miss betting records this season
- ATS Record: 15-15-0 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 4-6-0)
- ATS Record When Underdog by 12.5+: 0-1-0 (As Favorite: 8-10-0; As Underdog: 7-5-0)
- O-U-P: 15-15-0 (Home: 7-9-0; Away: 5-5-0)
- Record When Moneyline Favorite: 16-2 (Home: 12-2; Away: 2-0)
- Record When Moneyline Underdog: 5-7 (Home: 1-1; Away: 3-5)
| Field Goal % | Opp. Field Goal % | Rebounds | Opp. Rebounds | Assists | Turnovers |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 44.7 (180th in nation) | 43.0 (128th) | 29.6 (312th) | 33.0 (293rd) | 14.8 (98th) | 8.4 (third) |
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